Race 1: According to Pace Projector, #3 Perfect Disco has an advantage on this field early, and will also likely appreciate dropping back down in class while cutting back to a shorter sprint. May not have an easy time holding off #6 Indian Nobility late, as that horse has simply run faster races, and he just missed last time to a one-run closer after getting involved in a stretch duel.
Race 2: #5 Cort brings a solid series of works into his debut for George Weaver (88 rating with first-time starters in sprints), and he has the pedigree to be a runner, as well. His dam was a stakes winner on the inner dirt during her career, and she has already dropped three six-figure earners, including the talented Due Diligence. Stablemate #2 Saratoga Wildcat has valuable experience, and ensures that one of the firsters will have to be able to go a little in order to win right off the bat. Kiaran McLaughlin sends out uncoupled pair of #4 Ocean Knight (a $320k buy earlier this year) and the homebred #7 Ekhlaas, either of whom is eligible to be a runner.
Race 3: #4 Hi Speed Chase drops back down after trying tougher (Race Rating 88) last time. Overcame a speed-favoring track to post solid win despite not appearing to relish a sloppy track two starts back. #1 Eight Cents parlayed a perfect trip into a long overdue maiden win last time. Has run plenty of figures that make him tough in this field, and he gets a positive trainer change to Linda Rice. #3 Stalagmite projects to be on a clear early lead in a race expected to favor that running style, but that was the case for him last time, as well, and he was no match through the stretch. #5 King Gettigan also drops back down after trying tougher (Race Rating 89) last time. Often settles for minor awards, but he fires every time.
Race 4: #10 Wild Freud was never involved over a muddy track last time, but he impressed in debut when rushing up to contention after a slow start. Goes first off the claim for an excellent trainer, and can factor here if building upon that first one back on fast dirt. #11 Fear drops in vs. maiden claimers for the first time for a trainer pulling a perfect 100 rating with that move. Interested to see what we get from #5 Eddie Boots, who took all the money in MSW company first time out at Saratoga, then proceeded to do no running at all. Drops for second start. #2 No More Options was green when outrun in debut, and he was never able to get untracked over a sloppy track last time. May have more to offer. #6 Chasing Bubbles was no match for MSW rivals last time. Back down to the right level, and he has speed.
Race 5: #3 Southern Proper is a prior winner over the inner, and he ran very well at Parx last time after a terrible trip. Something similar to that effort makes him a big player here, and he's the right new face against this crew. #4 Most Happy Fella has held form all year, posted a game win three starts back, and was part of a contested pace when run down by a last-to-first winner two back. Projects to be in early control in this spot. #2 Le Deluge is consistently competitive; he just never wins (last victory came in August of 2012, in a 2-mile race). Good post as he makes his first start for a new barn.
Race 6: #8 Via Strata is the second foal out of a dam who was a multiple graded stakes winner on dirt, and who was Grade 1-placed in her career. Appeared to be preparing for a Saratoga debut while posting a series of fast works this summer before missing 5 weeks, but she's been back working strongly again recently. #3 Wundahowigothere was fully cranked for her return from a layoff last month, gunning clear on a fast pace before weakening late en route to a 93 TFUS Speed Figure. Dangerous if showing up with another race like that. #2 Majestic Empire was off slowly and no factor in Belmont debut. Has been given a little extra time since, and her trainer gets a perfect 100 rating with second-time starters. #5 Relax will debut just a few weeks shy of her 5th birthday. She is a half-sister to a stakes winner, and her dam is a full-sister to Derby winner Monarchos.
Race 7: #4 Chapman has the best races to get to, and he is the horse to beat as he drops out of a pair of stakes tries. Pace Projector indicates that runners on or near the early lead will have the advantage, but he does have other speeds drawn to his inside and to his outside. We have to give #6 Spartiatis a chance, as he gets the chance to sprint over fast dirt for the first time since his impressive maiden win over this track in the spring. He earned a solid TFUS Speed Figure of 89 for that win, and did so despite racing outside against one of the strongest rails of the year. #3 War Hero was disappointing when last seen in March, but he is lightly raced, and his lone win came off of works over this track.
Race 8: #5 Vyjack is the horse to beat in the $100k Queens County as he drops out of several graded stakes races to try an easier spot. Distance may not be ideal, but he has won both of his two-turn starts over this track. #7 Percussion got in a prep race off the layoff and may now be set for his best, which is going to make him tough in this race. Ran big in one spot after another on the inner last year. #4 Don Dulce has been a bit dirtied up since joining this barn, but he is competitive here with his best race, and he lost a heartbreaker in this race last year.
Race 9: #9 Warm Heart didn't break when dropped in class over a sloppy track last time, but she finished well once wheeled out into the clear. Drops again, and has more speed at her disposal based on earlier races. #3 Moonlight Fantasy has disappointed to this point. Drops down for the first time for trainer sporting series of perfect 100 ratings with older maiden claimers. #4 Senso gets a positive turn-back in distance for a hot barn, and she closed gamely before galloping out strongly in her debut, which was also her lone start in a fast dirt sprint at this level.