Race 1: #4 American Hero's last try sprinting on dirt was a good effort, and one that earned him a competitive speed figure of 65. Like him turning back here for the first time since. #2 Honor Bound and #3 Party On meet again after running 2nd and 3rd behind Hampden Fiveone, who returned to win again, last month. Honor Bound may hold the advantage this time with his early speed. #5 Frosty Pop Larry debuts for sharp young trainer with quick, if spotty, work tab in tow.
Race 2: #7 Signature Seven has not been competitive vs. much tougher fields since the claim (Race Ratings for last four starts: 100-98-90-95, Today: 84). Was a clear-cut winner the last time he was in a comparable spot, has routed effectively in the past, and can get himself up close in this race, which lacks for much in the way of early speed. #1 Pleiadian has been unable to make the early lead in any of his 3 starts since racing shifted to the inner dirt, and he stumbled badly at the start last time when in against a heavily favored dropdown winner from Jacobson. Pace Projector indicates that the pace scenario will be more favorable for him today. #5 Hop Skip and Away found a tough field for $25k last time, and gave way readily after an early chase. Had been up against it in moderately paced sprints prior to that, and new trainer gets strong 92 rating sprint to route, and a 99 with claimers down 50% or more in claiming price.
Race 3: It is going to be interesting to see what #6 Condo Commando winds up doing this year. She is clearly a filly of considerable talent, though she had highly favorable circumstances when posting pair of blowout graded stakes wins as a 2yo. Either way, she has found a good spot to get started here, and is likely to be too much for these horse if close to ready. #4 Overprepared won't have such an easy time of it on the lead this time, but she's pretty good with upside. #2 Paulassilverlining is a better sprinter, but she's an accomplished stakes horse already and has a genuine quality about her.
Race 4: We've been on a hard chase after #7 What the Frost for a while now, so it was nice to see her circle the field and gallop away through the stretch last time, albeit without a rider on her back. Not really looking to go back to her, but she'll be a price once again and can beat this field with her good race. #5 My Tee Time the one to beat on a big class drop for Jacobson. She parlayed pair of soft trips into victory two and three starts back, but she ran well in a much tougher spot last time.
Race 5: #6 Ridingwiththedevil isn't very good, but she has managed a couple of wins for this trainer and is supposed to be too tough on the massive class drop here. #1 Share 'n Stone was finally back sprinting on dirt last time, and she was an easy winner vs. a weaker field. Can improve further for a good trainer. #7 Manhattan Gin has the speed to be effective in this spot, though if Ridingwiththedevil is right she will be able to keep up with her early. #8 Epiphany wound up in a match race with Painted Poney after scratches last time, and was dusted through the stretch. Maybe we'll see a better version of her in her second start off the layoff.
Race 6: #5 Sea Raven received a conservative ride in a moderately paced race last time and couldn't impact a pair of rivals who were forwardly placed throughout the running. Giving him one more chance for a new trainer, as his prior route efforts out of low-percentage barn hinted at some ability. #1A Changewilldoyagood has switched over to dirt without issue recently and he faces a slightly easier field this time (Race Rating of 85, vs. ratings of 89 and 91 for his first two dirt starts). Did have a perfect trip when coming up short last time, but his tactical speed is an asset in this field. #6 Giantinthemoonlite got control up front in route debut last time, but he couldn't see out the distance and settled for 2nd best at the end. Projects to be on the early lead once again. #2 Huge Asset will only need to bring his out of town form to NY in order to be effective in this spot, and he can get the right kind of trip from his inside post.
Race 7: #2 Camille's Storm raced greenly throughout debut after getting away toward the back of the field and has since gone back to the drawing board. Took some money in that spot to be second choice to odds-on winner Sonora, and is eligible to step forward quickly with some experience. #7 Ginned Up bombed at a short price on the stretch-out last time. Sprint debut was a good effort, and getting back to an effort like that one makes her a contender. #5 Zippa Tequila just missed after a late surge in her second start, but she may have to do better than the 72 TFUS Speed Figure earned there in this spot. #9 Non Finisce Mai rallied well from the back of the field to get 2nd in that Sonora maiden-breaker, and her trainer has been on fire over the past couple of months. Not thrilled that she has been scratched a couple of times since that debut, which is now 90 days in the past.
Race 8: #2 Sustainable may be the horse to beat in this race as she lands in a softer entry-level allowance for her 3rd start back from a layoff. She is, however, a little hard to trust, and seems in danger of being overbet. We admit to having grown tired of #7 Kara's Match Point, and had sworn her off immediately following no-factor 4th last time, but she does fit this race well from the standpoint of pace, and her best race, should we finally see it again, will make her very tough to deny. #8 Dulcify was outrun early in fast-paced race while making her dirt debut last time, but that race came off the layoff, and she was racing on gamely to the end. She had more speed on synthetic prior to arriving here, and can be dangerous at a price if ready to improve off of that deceptively good effort last time.
Race 9: We'll see what happens with big dropdown #6 John Silver, who will beat this field if he can still run. That may be a dicey proposition for a horse dropping so precipitously off of such a dull effort, let alone one who was listed as a vet scratch here three weeks ago. #2 King Gettigan has had no chance in pair of starts since being claimed by talented trainer, and he was unlucky to drop in class last time only to face a pair of rivals taking a big class drop. Getting out of the gate cleanly is key for him, but he can run a little when he breaks with the field. #3 Kodiak Kody has run well enough in last two to contend here, and may catch the right set-up with pair of speeds drawn to the two outside posts and #5 Little Rocco, who lost his rider at the start last time, having plenty of early pace.