Race 1: #7 Ziggy Moondust has the best speed from an outside post, and he may be able to build upon his recent TFUS Speed Figures of 75 and 77 as he catches fast dirt for the first time. #1 Imposing Figure debuted on an inside-speed-favoring track on September 1 at Saratoga and was forced to chase the front-running winner from the outside all the way. Gets trainer change to Jacobson, who has already posted 12 wins over the first 9 race cards here. #2 Shinnecock Bay was also wide in that Labor Day race at Saratoga, and he faded after chasing Ziggy Moondust in the slop here on October 22. May be able to do better over a fast track that is playing fair.
Race 2: #8 Day Six has improved his TFUS Speed Figures in every start so far (68-80-86-89), and he ran winning races both 2 and 3 starts back before getting wired by repeat winner Sublime last time. Drop in class makes him tough. #7 Dividend's last two races are the best he's ever run, and he was given no chance last time when rated to the back of the field in a race in which the pace failed to develop. #4 Mambo At the Gym was in too tough when raised in class last time, and he also found himself too close to a pace that collapsed.
Race 3: #1 Cherokee Artist has disappointed recently in Florida, but he had run one race after another that would make him too much for theses horses prior to heading down there, and he may catch the right scenario here with several committed speeds signed on. #6 My Adonis is fresh off the claim after overwhelming weaker here just 4 days ago. Has back races to get to that would make him a player here on the rise, and his new trainer gets perfect 100 rating off the claim. #3 Broad Rule hasn't run fast enough to beat this field recently, but is another with races to get to, and he will also benefit if a contested pace develops.
Race 4: A fast pace is projected for the opening leg of the Pick 6 (with a three-day carryover of over $227k), which figures to suit #6 Call Wil. Earned a TFUS Speed Figure of 92 for easy win last time on grass, and a similar performance in this spot makes him tough. #1 Sonnyandpally parlayed a perfect trip into victory when dropped back down in class last time. Has had a couple of starts rained off the turf since then, but his best effort puts him there, and he projects for a nice ground-saving trip from the inside. #5 Raglin River has been holding good form recently and can also benefit from some pace, but he's a question mark taking on more distance in this spot.
Race 5: #2 Big Guy Ian raced on gamely after contesting the pace throughout a muddy six furlongs last time. Seems to have benefited from recent turn-back to sprinting, and a repeat of 101 TFUS Speed Figure earned last time makes him the horse to beat. #1 Dyker Beach often settles for minor awards, so is difficult to take on top, but he goes for Jacobson, has posted a recent win, and has been stuck racing on wet tracks recently.
Race 6: #14 Street Game has been in solid form for trainer Michelle Nevin, and he showed a new dimension when confidently rated to the back of the field last time before storming by horses in the stretch. Chad Brown doesn't often play the claiming game, but he has success when he does (100 rating off the claim) and his new acquisition #2 Jonrah is already competitive with this bunch. #3 Balderdash has rounded back into form for an underrated trainer, and he had a less-than-ideal trip when turned back to sprint most recently. #5 Compliance Officer has lost a step or two at age 8, but he can still race competitively at the right level, which he may have found here.
Race 7: #3 Foxbeau has a layoff to overcome, but she gets some class relief for her return and is competitive in this kind of race if ready off the break. #5 Manhattan Gin has speed to take advantage of in this field, which is expected to favor runners on or near the early lead, but we will be surprised if #8 Untiltherewasyou doesn't have some speed in this spot as she cuts back to sprint on dirt with a switch to Rosario. #4 Da Wildcat Girl may not catch an advantageous pace scenario for her closing style, but she has overcome that in the past and has been holding good form.
Race 8: #4 Writingonthewall has won his last 5 dirt races around one turn, and 7 of his last 10 on dirt overall. Continues to hit hard at the age of 9 for top trainer, and can either set or stalk the pace, as required. #7 Leilani's Ticket needs some pace out front to set up his late run, and while Pace Projector favors runners up close in this spot, there is some potential for a set up with either of #1 Pretension or #1A Goodtolook (only one will start with Ritvo named on both), #2 Smokem's Charm and/or #5 Sol the Freud capable of showing speed.
Race 9: #4 Gear Jammer is a logical contender based on his recent races. He ran best when on the pace two starts back and may try those tactics once again with blinkers going on for this. #7 Fulmer was unlucky in debut to run into the impressive Kerjillion and settled for second best. Still raced on well in there to finish clear of the others. #2 Boldlee will have to stretch out effectively in order to contend, but he deserves another chance after getting stuck in traffic and winding up with no room to run in the stretch when last on turf.