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Big Apple Babies

 

Big Apple Babies is a series that takes a glance at the pedigrees and sales histories of select 2-year-olds who are making their debuts in maiden special weight races at Aqueduct Racetrack, Belmont Park, or Saratoga Race Course. Many of history’s best horses have commenced their careers in New York, and Big Apple Babies will help fans find the stars of tomorrow as they head postward for the first time.

 

Big Apple Babies for Friday, October 17,2014

Susie Raisher

Big Apple Babies for Friday, October 17,2014

Race 3, 2-year-olds, 7 furlongs, turf, 1:52pm

THUNDERS FURY (bay gelding, Thunder Gulch – Golden Gale, by Summer Squall) is the tenth foal from his dam, six of which have run. Five of Golden Gale’s offspring to race are winners, a group that includes a pair of stakes horses. Knights Cross (Thunderello) finished third in the G3 Aristides while Bailzee (Grand Slam) was third in the Lottsa Talc Stakes at Aqueduct. Golden Gale herself earned over $260,000 while picking up a pair of stakes victories, including the G2 Beaumont at Keeneland. All of the mentioned blacktype was earned sprinting on the dirt.

Owner: Windmill Manor Farm
Trainer: Tom Morley
Jockey: Manuel Franco
 

PERFORMANCE BONUS (bay colt, Discreetly Mine – Unlimited Pleasure, by Valid Appeal) is a half-brother to a trio of graded stakes winners, headlined by Unlimited Budget (Street Sense). Unlimited Budget won the first four races of her career, including the G2 Demoiselle, G2 Fair Grounds Oaks, and G3 Rachel Alexandra. Unlimited Pleasure’s other graded stakes winners are precocious Montbrook juveniles Beacon Shine and Jardin, winners of the G3 Flash and G3 Schuylerville respectively. Unlimited Pleasure, a half-sister to G1 winner Outofthebox, did not run at two but her first six starts included a debut win, three subsequent victories, and a stakes placing.

Owner: Klaravich Stables & William H. Lawrence
Trainer: Chad Brown
Jockey: Javier Castellano
Sales history: $120,000 OBS March 2-year-old in training, where he worked a quarter in 22.1: watch now

 

BIG APPLE BABIES ELIGIBILITY REQUIREMENTS

* Is out of a graded-stakes-winning mare

* Is a sibling to a graded-stakes winner

* Is out of a Grade 1-placed mare

* Is a sibling to a Grade 1-placed runner

* Is out of a black-type earning mare who earned at least $300,000

* Is a sibling to a black-type earner who has earned at least $300,000

* Has a second dam who was a Grade 1 winner

* Has a second dam who produced a Grade 1 winner

* Sold for at least $300,000 at auction

 

Big Apple Babies for Thursday, October 16, 2014

Susie Raisher

Big Apple Babies for Thursday, October 16, 2014

Race 4, 2-year-olds, originally carded for 1 1/16 miles, turf, 2:23pm
The race has been moved to the main track.

WORLD APPROVAL (gray/roan gelding, Northern Afleet – Win Approval, by With Approval) is a half-brother to a trio of millionaires, all of whom have had tremendous success on the grass. Revved Up (by Sultry Song) broke his maiden in an off-the-turf sprint at two and earned over $1.5 million, largely going a route of ground on grass, in a career that lasted until his was ten. Miesque’s Approval (Miesque’s Son), displayed similar longevity as a 2-year-old stakes winner who found his greatest success at the age of seven, when a Breeders’ Cup Mile victory helped propel him to an Eclipse Award. The most recent star from the family is Za Approval (Ghostzapper), a multiple graded stakes winner who is hoping this year’s Breeders’ Cup Mile can add to his earnings of over $1.1 million. Win Approval herself only won twice, but one of those victories came on a sloppy track in an off-the-turf affair.

Owner: Live Oak Plantation
Trainer: Christophe Clement

 

OUR LUKESTER (bay colt, Mineshaft – Moyne Abbey, by Charismatic) is the fifth foal from his dam, two of whom have run. Both are winners, led by this year’s G1 twinspires.com Wood Memorial and G2 Jim Dandy winner Wicked Strong. Moyne Abbey is a half-sister to a quartet of stakes horses, led by multiple graded stakes winner Gulch Approval.

Owner: William Lynn
Trainer: Barclay Tagg
 

ELIGIBILITY REQUIREMENTS

* Is out of a graded-stakes-winning mare

* Is a sibling to a graded-stakes winner

* Is out of a Grade 1-placed mare

* Is a sibling to a Grade 1-placed runner

* Is out of a black-type earning mare who earned at least $300,000

* Is a sibling to a black-type earner who has earned at least $300,000

* Has a second dam who was a Grade 1 winner

* Has a second dam who produced a Grade 1 winner

* Sold for at least $300,000 at auction

 

 

TimeformUS Analysis for October 16

TimeformUS Analyst Mike Beer

TimeformUS Analysis for the racing at gorgeous Belmont Park on Thursday October 16

>Go to the TimeformUS PPs for these races

Race 1:  #1 Mills has seen his fortunes fall since running in a Grade 1 race at this time last year; brings a 9-race losing streak into this $50k claimer today.  Isn't easy to take at a short price, but this would be a good spot for Rosario to use his speed from the inside.  If he can't even win a race at this level, the best alternatives appear to be #8 Michael With Us, who is on a big class drop of his own but is lacking early speed in a race where that puts him up against it, or #9 Bigger Picture, who impressed with a big stretch run in his turf debut last time and has all of the upside.  
 
Selections:  9-1-8-5
 
Race 2:  #9 Heading to Boca never picked up his feet over a sloppy, speed-favoring track in his return from a long layoff here 12 days ago.  Back in short order for a hot trainer, and his two sprints over fast dirt to this point give him a chance in here.  #5 Boss Daddy has raced very greenly in first two starts, but showed some interest in his debut after being shuffled out to last behind a class-dropping winner. Back to the level of the claim for young trainer who is doing excellent work so far.  #7 Qui C'est Moi has run the fastest races and gets some needed class relief off the layoff. 
 
Selections:  9-5-7-4
 
Race 3:  #3 Tiz May West drops down with a big TFUS Speed Figure edge on this field, and Pace Projector indicates that she has the best early speed in this matchup.  Main threat to her figures to come from #1 Prove It All Night, who came back to dirt with a drop in class at Saratoga and proved to be a much-the-best winner in frontrunning fashion.  #4 Boca Babe is lightly raced enough to be given a look, and her trainer excels going turf to dirt (98 rating) and with claimers down in class (100 rating).
 
Selections:  3-1-4-2
 

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Race 4:  #1 Red Guard was outrun and last all the way to the top of the stretch before coming with a solid late run in promising debut.  Adds lasix for second start.  #6 Andalusite and #7 Grey Wizard both ran well when finishing noses apart behind frontrunning winner Dubai Sky here on September 30th.  #11 St. Louie drifted in badly at the break of his debut before racing on well while in and among horses all the way.  Eligible to improve rapidly.  #12 Tale of Fancy switches immediately to turf with a big pedigree (100 Breeding Rating for turf routes) after getting in a prep on the main track.  Will also add lasix for the first time. 
 
Selections:  1-11-7-6
 
Race 5:  #7 Glenbrook put in a run after a green beginning in her debut, and then had little chance when giving chase to a drop-down, odds-on winner in her second start.  Adds lasix for the first time today, and won't have to build much upon 65 TFUS Speed Figure earned last time to contend here.  #4 Marriedtomichael drops down for the first time and switches from turf to dirt for third start off the layoff.  Raced three-wide against a gold rail last time on dirt.  #6 Flapper Girl has had little to offer so far in pair of well-backed races on both surfaces.  Lone dirt start came vs. much better. 
 
Selections:  7-4-6-5 
 

BC270x200Race 6:  #8 Shatak earned a slight new top TFUS Speed Figure of 93 in first start back from a long layoff last time, and did so despite being strongly rated in behind the 1-2 finishers for a long way.  Has nice versatility and can be tough in here if stepping forward slightly second time back.  #1 Cashmere Cat took advantage of Shatak's conceding the lead on August 23rd, and he has since come back to be defeated as the favorite going a bit longer.  This may be a better distance for him, and he has speed at his disposal.  #5 Knockher Off clipped heels and stumbled badly at the start in his return from a long layoff.  Has run well in all three turf sprints to date, though he did have soft trips in each of his wins.  

Selections:
 
Race 7:  #8 Royal Currier is tough to play against as he drops way down in class and projects to be on a clear early lead.  Best race, or anything approaching that, makes him too much for these horses.  #7 Back Forty has been compromised by moderate paces in last two, but prior to that he had races that make him a factor in this field, and he figures to be an overlaid price off the claim.  Neither #2 Doc Almon or #6 Regulus could factor vs. better last time, but they figure tougher in this spot, and they both have the positional speed to get the right trip. 
 
Selections:  8-7-2-6
 
Race 8:  #10 Bella Kateri is the one to beat off convincing win over this track and trip here last month with an 88 TFUS Speed Figure.  Still owns the upside as the most lightly raced horse in the field.  #7 Nonnie Connie returns quickly after chasing a fast pace here 7 days ago.  Something similar to the effort two back would make her a contender here.  #3 Official also wheels back quickly after a game finish behind a clear winner over shorter trip last week.  Has run well in all three turf starts, but may need some pace to develop.  
 
Selections:  10-7-3-11
 
Race 9:  #2 R Y Squadron debuts for a hot trainer, one who has won with 7 of the last 19 2yos he's debuted on grass.  Pulls strong 95 Breeding Rating for turf sprints.  #4 Dream On debuted in a loaded race on the main track, and will switch to turf for second start.  Half-sister One Time Only has scored all three career wins over grass while posting top TFUS Speed Figure of 97.  #1A Forma's Joy closed ground into a fast pace in turf debut before trying stakes company on the main track last time.  Figures to appreciate getting back on grass, and she has an experience edge on most of these.
 
Selections:  2-4-1A-7
 

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TimeformUS Analysis for October 13

TimeformUS Analyst Mike Beer

TimeformUS Analysis for the racing at gorgeous Belmont Park on Monday October 13

>Go to the TimeformUS PPs for these races

 
Race 1:  #2 Moonlight Fantasy is the horse to beat, and she may well win, but the reality is that she came away from her last race second best without excuse after making a clear lead, and she finished just 3/4 of a length in front of #3 All Luv Me, who was the longest shot on the board in that spot.  We can try to beat her with two horses.  #1 Super City is an unknown on dirt, but she ran very well when flashing big speed in her debut, and she got the wrong ride when taken back under a hard hold last time.  #4 Stonely Heart is a full sister to the Grade 3 sprinter Hot Stones.  There is a troubling gap in her recorded works between August 16th and September 19th, but she is eligible to be a runner.
 
Selections:  1-4-2-3
 
Race 2:  #7 Western Tryst is at his best sprinting on the grass, so this turn-back in distance figures to work well for him, and the class drop won't hurt either (last 4 starts on turf all had Race Ratings higher than today's 91).  Closing sprinter should have some pace to run into.  #9 Joe Can Gallop is the horse to beat as he takes a big class drop of his own.  Earned back-to-back 100 TFUS Speed Figures two and three starts back, and he is unlikely to lose if hanging up a number like that in this spot.  Been wanting to see what #2 Pecorino could do on turf (his dam posted all three career wins on grass, and she is a sister to Big Booster, a Grade 2 winner who made over $820k on turf), and he wheels back quickly to try it, but this is an above-average race for the level.
 
Selections:  7-9-2-5
 
Race 3:  Pace Projector for this race favors runners on or near the lead, and it indicates that #4 Shaunna Alexandra has the speed to take advantage of that scenario.  She drops in class for this, and she earned back-to-back TFUS Speed Figures of 92 for her efforts in April and May.  No one else in the field has broken 90.  #3 Star Magnolia returned from a layoff with a convincing victory over a weak field.  Earned a new speed figure top for that effort, and is eligible to still be improving.  #2 Appearance ran some good races after arriving in NY last winter, and she was in way too tough last time vs. open claiming company.
 
Selections:  4-3-2-1
 

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Race 4:  #2 Macagone blew a couple of clear stretch leads upstate, but he was cutting out fast paces in those starts, and he may really appreciate getting back to Belmont.  #10 Blue Pigeon is tough to take on top after giving away perfect-trip chances in his last two starts.  Now defeated at 5/2 or less in 5 straight starts.  #5 Slew's Brew has quietly overachieved on turf, and he closed gamely up the rail to post maiden win last time.  Will be hoping some pace develops in this race to give him his best chance.
 
Selections:  2-10-5-7
 
Race 5:  #7 She's Marvy's lone start on dirt came in her debut, where she ran into an impressive winner in Hard to Stay Notgo (90 TFUS Speed Figure).  Switched to turf for her next two starts, but Breeding Ratings suggest this is a better surface for her (85 for dirt, 66 for turf).  #9 Giant Hearted Lee had plenty of trouble when a no-factor 5th in debut behind a much-the-best winner and can be given another chance.  Castellano sticks with her.  #3 Saluda has dangerous speed on the drop.  Couldn't hold on after dueling the pace at Finger Lakes last time in a race that was won by a last-to-first closer.
 
Selections:  7-9-3-5
 
Race 6:  #2 Sweetsoutherndame's lone turf start came vs. much better horses, and she is taking a huge class drop in this spot.  Fact that she is multiple stakes placed on synthetic provides hope that she can run her race on grass, and if she can, she is going to be hard on these horses.  #4 Too Good to B True has also faced some tougher company than this, and she is the kind of new face you want in a field like this.  #6 Dramatize has a race in her that would make her very tough in this spot; she just hasn't been able to run it in NY to this point.  Tries again.  #9 Jennys Creek finally broke through with a win at Saratoga, and she is dropping down to the right level now.
 
Selections:  2-4-6-9
  
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Race 7:  $100k Punkin Pie Stakes features several with a top race good enough to win.  Question is:  Who will run up to her best today?  We have the fewest questions about #2 Katie's Garden and will take her.  Third off the layoff after pairing up TFUS Speed Figure tops of 101, she may still have forward to go.  #3 Classic Point has better efforts in her than she has shown recently.  Drop in class figures to help, but her trainer has struggled mightily at this meet after burning up Saratoga.  #4 Wildcat Lily just missed in pair of Grade 1 races as a 3yo but has yet to replicate that form this year.  Makes second start back from a long layoff, and second start since the change to a hot trainer.  #8 Voodoo Tales has appeared a different horse in her last two starts for Nick Esler, earning TFUS Speed Figures of 104 and 96 while laying the boots to allowance horses.  Hard to take it as a good sign that she hasn't run in the last 95 days following those impressive efforts. 
 
Selections:  2-3-4-8
 
Race 8:  #1 Claiming Victory has picked up her game since being pointed to turf sprints, and she exits an easy score over a next-out winner at Monmouth last time.  #12 Dauphine Russe hasn't been out in 186 days and has never raced as short as 6 furlongs.  She did win over 6.5 when last seen, but she got a perfect trip into a fast pace that was falling apart that day.  #9 Indian Splendor may have to deal with the speedy #3 Laguna Girl early, but she may simply be faster than that rival, and if she is, she will be tough to run down.
 
Selections:  1-9-12-6
 
Race 9:  Interesting running of the $200k Pebbles, with a big field and a few imports to consider.  Invaluable insights from our Timeform analysts in London on those imports, as they had viewed  #4 Lady Lara as the type with plenty of scope for improvement from 2-to-3, and they have been proven right.  She will make her first start for Bill Mott today after posting long overdue win last time.  The opposite was felt regarding #9 Sandiva, who was described as a filly on the small side who may not be the type to continue improving.  She hasn't so far, and did not produce a big run in her stateside debut in Grade 2 company.  She will, however, switch to Pletcher and add lasix for this.  #11 Indian Rainbow has held solid group form this year, and she earned a 115 Timeform Speed Figure for her runner-up finish in France last time.  #8 Kenzadargent has impressively won both starts for Chad Brown since arriving stateside.  Will step up today, but she was also stakes quality in France prior to shipping over.  #3 Secret Someone has impressed in all three starts since being switched to turf, and she closed strongly once clear in the stretch to win first time back from a layoff last time. 
 
Selections:  4-11-8-3
 
Race 10:  #6 Lutheran Miss had no excuses in pair of perfect-trip losses since being switched to turf, but she likely just faced a better horse last time, and she has certainly found the right field here today.  #10 Miss Motivation hasn't run up to her prior form since arriving in NY with a trainer change, but she has races that make her competitive in a field like this one.  #12 Tenacious Indeed is another who has provided little to get excited about, but she may have found the kind of field she can be competitive with.
 
Selections:  6-10-12-7
 

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