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Big Apple Babies

 

Big Apple Babies is a series that takes a glance at the pedigrees and sales histories of select 2-year-olds who are making their debuts in maiden special weight races at Aqueduct Racetrack, Belmont Park, or Saratoga Race Course. Many of history’s best horses have commenced their careers in New York, and Big Apple Babies will help fans find the stars of tomorrow as they head postward for the first time.

 

Big Apple Babies for Sunday, October 19, 2014

Susie Raisher

Big Apple Babies for Sunday, October 19,2014

Race 5, 2-year-old fillies, 1 1/16 miles, turf, 2:54pm

SEEKING (dark bay/brown filly, Mizzen Mast – Looking Afar, by Broad Brush) is a half-sister to G2 Go for Wand winner Nefertini. Nefertini picked up additional blacktype on a trio of other occasions, all on dirt. The earner of better than $310,000 broke her maiden on the grass upon debut. Their multiple stakes placed dam is from the Phipps family of Seeking the Gold, Fast Play, and Survivalist, among others. Looking Afar is the dam of three other winners from six total starters.

Owner: Gainesway Stable
Trainer: Bill Mott
Jockey: Junior Alvarado
Sales history: $95,000 Keeneland September yearling

 

LUCKY SONG (chestnut filly, Unbridled’s Song – Caminadora, by More Than Ready) is the first foal from G3 winner Caminadora. Caminadora broke her maiden as a two-year-old in her fourth start, second on turf. She went on to take the G3 Regret going 1 1/8 on turf as a three-year-old. Second dam Stoneway was a stakes winning dirt sprinter who took the Cincinnati Trophy Stakes.

Owner: Bridlewood Farm
Trainer: Chad Brown
Jockey: Joel Rosario
Sales history: $195,000 Keeneland September yearling

 

MOZAMBIQUE GOLD (bay filly, Northern Afleet – Hishi Once More, by Touch Gold) is the third foal from her dam, one of which is a winner, and the first to run in North America. Hishi Once More earned nearly $400,000 in Japan, where purses are high, and counted the Ariake Tokubetsu Stakes, going roughly 5 furlongs on turf, as her biggest victory. Second dam Hishi Natalie earned over $2.3 million in Japan, where she was a four-time Group winner ranging from 7 furlongs to 1 1/8 miles. Hishi Natalie is a full sister to Blacksburg, a stakes winning juvenile at Hawthorne and a two-time graded stakes winner on the turf in Southern California.

Owner: James Covello, Joseph Bulger, and James Dolan
Trainer: George Weaver
Jockey: Jose Ortiz
Sales history: $65,000 Keeneland September yearling

 

MYSTICAL CHARM (chestnut filly, Hard Spun – Mystic Lady, by Thunder Gulch) is a homebred for the same connections who campaigned her dam, $1.1 million-earner Mystic Lady. Versatile Mystic Lady was already a stakes winner on dirt and G2 placed on turf by the conclusion of her 2-year-old campaign. She retired as an eight-time stakes winner, five of which were graded. Mystical Charm is her sixth foal, all of whom have run, including two winners, one of which found their success on the grass. Mystic Lady, a half to two other stakes horses, hails from the family of Fourstardave and Fourstars Allstar.

Owner: Lee Lewis
Trainer: Mark Hennig
Jockey: Dylan Davis

 

BEEN HERE BEFORE (chestnut filly, Tapit – Connie Belle, by Storm Cat) is the fourth foal from her turf-stakes winning dam. Two prior starters have won, including two-time turf victor Call First, a ¾ brother to Been Here Before. Connie Belle is a daughter of G3 Arlington Heights Oaks winner Minister’s Melody, which makes her a half-sister to G1 Wood Memorial winner Bob and John.

Owner: Darley Stable
Trainer: Kiaran McLaughlin
Jockey: Manuel Franco

 

Notes: Strict Compliance is a half to stakes winner Tiree. Her dam, Diva Dyna, is a half to turf G2 winner Unitarian. Lox’s dam, Whitefish, is a half to a trio of turf stakes horses in Keertana, Snow Top Mountain, and Diversy Harbor.

 

Race 7, 2-year-old fillies, 6 furlongs, dirt, 3:56pm

RIGHT DECISION (bay filly, Bernardini – Flourish, by Distorted Humor) is the first foal from her dam, a winner on both turf and dirt. Flourish is a half-sister to a pair of multiple G1 winning millionaires in Tates Creek (Rahy) and Sightseek (Distant View), the former of whom excelled on dirt and the latter on turf.

Owner: Juddmonte Farms
Trainer: Bill Mott
Jockey: Manuel Franco

 

OVERPREPARED (bay filly, Quality Road – Daily Special, by Dayjur) is a half-sister to multiple graded stakes winner Shadow Cast (Smart Strike) and one additional stakes-placed runner. Shadow Cast broke her maiden sprinting on dirt in her debut before going on to excel as a router. Her biggest career victory came in the G1 Personal Ensign at Saratoga as a four-year-old.

Owner: Repole Stable
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: John Velazquez
Sales history: $310,000 OBS March 2-year-old in training. One furlong in 10.2: video

 

ZEALOUS WILDCAT (dark bay/brown filly, Bluegrass Cat – Zealous Connection, by Unreal Zeal) is homebred half-sister to a trio of stakes winners. Dam Zealous Connection was unbeaten in three lifetime starts, all at two, including a victory in the G2 Landaluce. Her hat trick of stakes offspring is led by Here’s Zealous (Dehere), who earned over $450,000 in winning races like the G3 Gravesend. There’s Zealous (Broad Brush) took the Cigar Stakes on his way to earnings of over $280,000, while She’s Zealous (Cozzene) picked up a Correction Handicap win and over $150,000.

Owner: Jay Em Ess Stable
Trainer: Michelle Nevin
Jockey: Jose Ortiz


Notes: Market Lover is a half or full to a trio of stakes horses. Midnight Bounty’s multiple stakes winning dam is a half-sister to Japanese G2 winner Agnes Wing.

 

ELIGIBILITY REQUIREMENTS

* Is out of a graded-stakes-winning mare

* Is a sibling to a graded-stakes winner

* Is out of a Grade 1-placed mare

* Is a sibling to a Grade 1-placed runner

* Is out of a black-type earning mare who earned at least $300,000

* Is a sibling to a black-type earner who has earned at least $300,000

* Has a second dam who was a Grade 1 winner

* Has a second dam who produced a Grade 1 winner

* Sold for at least $300,000 at auction

 

TimeformUS Analysis for October 19

TimeformUS Analyst Mike Beer

TimeformUS Analysis for the racing at gorgeous Belmont Park on Sunday October 19

>Go to the TimeformUS PPs for these races

 
Race 1:  #2 N. F.'s Destiny was in a four-wide trip all the way and wound up second-best to the now 12-time winner Italian Rules last time.  Back quickly for second start off the Jacobson claim, and he's tough on this class drop (Jacobson gets a perfect 100 rating with claimers down by 50% or more in price).  #4 Socialsaul is a wild card in this race, with solid back races to get to but some sketchy recent form.  Now a stablemate of N. F.'s Destiny for Jacobson, who also gets a perfect rating first off the claim.  Hard to take it as a positive that the 9yo #6 Awakino Cat plummets in for $10k while switching to dirt off of an eased running line, but with turf season coming to an end, he's likely an acceptable loss for these connections, should anyone be interested.  #3 Ten Items Or Less went to Finger Lakes to get back on the beam, and he attracts Castellano for his NYRA return.  Has enough speed to make things tough on N. F.'s Destiny in the early going. 
 
Selections:  2-4-6-3
 
Race 2:  #8 Double Whammy goes first off the claim for Jacobson (100 rating) and faces an easier field for the level after running into traffic trouble on the drop at Saratoga.  #4 Collinito cut out a fast pace and stayed gamely despite drifting out through the stretch and ultimately being DQ'd when last seen back in February.  Will have to be ready off the long break, but returning horses from this kind of layoff is one of the things this trainer does pretty well (76 rating), and if Collinito has improved during his time off, he's going to be very tough.  #7 Bold Runner has the kind of speed that makes him dangerous every time he lines up in the gate.  Has had his share of chances at this level already, but he ensures a legitimately run race.  #10 Pisco Bliss is no great shakes based on his first two starts, but he is well-connected and lightly raced enough to deserve another chance or two.
 
Selections:  4-7-10-8
 
Race 3:  #5 Lemon and Honey has run some of the best dirt races in this weak field, and she lost all chance when stumbling badly at the break last time.  #6 Kate is a Ten earned new TFUS Speed Figure top on dirt when finishing ahead of Lemon and Honey last time, and will be tough if producing a similar effort in this spot, but we'll make her do it, especially if she's the favorite come post time.  Both #1 Andromeda's Risk and #2 Pitched have to stretch out in distance for this, but they are both lightly raced enough to consider.
 
Selections:  5-6-2-1

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Race 4:  #2 Sleek has been a disappointment on turf, but we wonder if she may have just wanted dirt all along.  She has a strong Breeding Rating of 91 for dirt (as opposed to just a 74 for turf), and she had plenty of trouble in her lone start on the main track, which came in her debut.  #4 Saharan Serenade lost position when steadied on the backstretch two starts back, and she had a similar trip last time when held up in the early going to wind up at the back of the field.  Has to stretch out, but switches to an aggressive rider and may show more speed this time.  Like Sleek, #3 Manner of Speaking has been routed to turf, but she has a pedigree more slanted toward dirt (87 Breeding Rating, she is a half-sister to Ava K., a multiple stakes winner on the main track) and may show more with the surface switch.
 
Selections: 2-4-3-8
 
Race 5:  Potentially loaded MSW for 2yo fillies on turf features several well-bred and well-connected first-time starters.  It has proven to be expensive to stand against Chad Brown first-time starters in these races all year, and he has two in here, including #2 Lucky Song, a $195k purchase whose dam was a Grade 3 winner on turf.  #6 Strict Compliance brought $100k, and her dam is a sister to turf stakes winner Unitarian.  #10 Lox is very well-bred for turf (dam is a sister to turf stakes winners Keertana, Snowtop Mountain and Diversy Harbor), but debuting horses in turf routes is not one of Pletcher's specialties (89 rating).  We liked the debut from #7 All in Fun quite a bit as she tried to slingshot around the field over a sprint distance and continued on well to the end.  Has to stretch out, but has valuable experience.  
 
Selections:  2-7-10-6

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Race 6:  #5 Partly Mocha gets the proper turn-back after trying a longer race last time, and he lands in a race with plenty of speed types signed on to set up his late run.  Closed gamely in a race that was holding together up front two back.  #2 Ziptronic is the horse to beat in current form, as he has taken three straight while either setting or stalking the pace.  #3 Thomas Hill and #11 Isn'tlovejustgrand are both capable with one of their best races.  We've been chasing them for a while now and won't have many more chances to get out, with turf racing coming to a close soon. 
 
Selections:  5-2-11-3
 
Race 7:  Another potentially loaded baby race, this one on the main track at 6 furlongs.  We were disappointed in the races of the coupled Jimmy Jerkens pair of #1 Etiquette (rode a gold rail to a no-factor 2nd in debut) and #1A Treasure (was flat last time in a race we didn't think she could possibly lose).  They both remain eligible to improve but figure to make a short-priced entry, so we'll look elsewhere.  #7 Eloquent Tribute was rated back in no hurry first time out, while winner Paris Bikini strolled along through slow fractions.  Thought she finished gamely to just miss catching Treasure in that spot, and prefer her to that rival today.  #9 Overprepared debuts for Pletcher and is clearly dangerous, as is #12 Zealous Wildcat, a half to three stakes-winning dirt sprinters for a hot trainer.  
 
Selections:  12-7-9-1/1A
 
Race 8:  In yet another wide-open race, we will take a shot with the lone 3yo in the field, #3 Cabo Cat.  He needs some pace to close into but may get enough of that in this big field, and he is suited by the turn-back to a mile after trying longer in last 2 starts.  #5 Inchcape ran a winning race last time while up close in a race that fell to closers late.  Has a versatile running style and figures to be a square price once again.  #7 Middleburg had legit traffic trouble last time, but he is becoming the type who will always find an excuse, which makes him tough to take on top at any kind of short price.  Thought #10 Helm had an excuse last time when defeated as the favorite, and he may offer much more value in this spot.
 
Selections:  3-5-7-10
 
Race 9:  #1 Slumber has not developed into the top-flight graded stakes turf horse we once thought he may be, but he has been tough on horses like this since arriving stateside, and one thing he has proven capable of is firing fresh.  Not sure where he goes from here, but he is supposed to be tough in this spot.  #7 Sky Blazer is the main backup as he drops out of graded stakes company.  Doesn't win very often, but he runs every time and has a top race that ensures Slumber will have to be close to ready.  #8 St. Albans Boy may be catching Slumber at the right time, and he has stretched it out effectively for a new trainer who is off to a very good start.
 
Selections:  1-7-8-2
 
Race 10:  Pace Projector indicates a fast pace is on tap for the finale, and we'll hope that helps #6 G Note get back to one of her good races.  She has been very inconsistent but has run well enough on turf to be tough in this field and will appreciate having some pace to close into.  #3 Keen Katana has improved from start to start on grass (TFUS Speed Figures of 71-76-83 in her three starts).  Projects for a perfect trip tracking in behind the speed. #9 La Reverie had the pedigree to improve with the switch to grass and did so here last month, but she also had a perfect trip into a fast pace, and she faces better horses here.
 
Selections:  6-3-9-7 

 

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TimeformUS Analysis for October 18

TimeformUS Analyst Mike Beer

TimeformUS Analysis for the racing at gorgeous Belmont Park on Saturday October 18

>Go to the TimeformUS PPs for these races

 
Race 1:  #2 Tizquick stumbled at the start and couldn't impact stakes horses in the mud last time, but he earned a solid 83 TFUS Speed Figure for his good debut effort behind the talented Upstart.  Tough to be against at a short price in this field.  #1A Fallfire has also tried stakes company recently, and he has dangerous speed, assuming he is the half of the entry that goes.  Firsters #7 Summer Hawk and #8 Andrew's Got Zip both worked 10.1 prior to being purchased at Ocala April, but they'll have to be runners if Tizquick shows up with something like his debut.
 
Selections:  2-7-1A-8
 
Race 2: #2 Ostrolenka chased wide over a speed-favoring track in muddy debut, then stretched out over fast going here last month and overpowered a field from start to finish in a highly impressive display.  Looks to be a short price in here, but is going to be tough with another effort like that last one.  #5 Market Conduct is the most interesting alternative as he has given the impression that he may want more ground after a pair of sprints to start his career.  Gets the stretch-out here for a hot trainer and has a 90 Breeding Rating for dirt routes.  
 
Selections:  2-5-3-7
 
Race 3:  #9 Temper Mint Patty has displayed admirable tractability in her first two starts, and she blew clear of a couple of these rivals in posting impressive score last time with big 98 TFUS Speed Figure.  Has a nice post on the outside and is the clear horse to beat.  
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#6 Quezon debuted in off-the-turf sprint, but well-bred filly impressed that day in running away from an odds-on favorite who came back to win easily here earlier in the week.  #7 Sandra is also stepping up directly off of a maiden win, but she also impressed in posting clear-cut win with an 85 TFUS Speed Figure.  
 
Selections:  9-6-7-4
 

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Race 4:  One more match up of the big three NY-bred turf routers, as #1 Kharafa, #3 King Kreesa, and #9 Lubash square off once again.  Lubash got the best of his rivals last time after managing to sit out the pace before storming through the stretch on the outside, and he has now found the winner's circle 3 times this year after a 1-for-8 2013.  Thought he took advantage in there as Kharafa pushed King Kreesa along on the pace, which softened them up just enough late.  Much depends on the tactics deployed this time, but we'll put King Kreesa on top as he figures to control the action once again. 
 
Selections:  3-9-1-8
 
Race 5:  #8 La Verdad outran some fast open-company fillies to the lead in the Grade 2 Gallant Bloom last time, and dropped a tough decision late to the multiple Grade 1 winner Artemis Agrotera.  Has no such pace rival early in this race and is going to be tough to catch.  #4 Willet is the main danger, but she couldn't reach La Verdad late in the Gallant Bloom and faces a taller order in this spot.  #6 Risky Rachel may have lost a step, but she is competitive with Willet with her best effort, and she has had her form dirtied up by wet tracks. 
 
Selections:  8-4-6-7

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Race 6:  Race 6:  #13 Foxhall Drive will have a tough post to overcome if he gets in, but he showed some ability in his debut when getting the best of a pace battle before being closed down by a pair of talented Chad Brown runners in Offering Plan (recently 3rd in a Grade 3) and Kerjillion (won next start by over 7 lengths).  #1 Scooby Dude also displayed some talent when putting in a long, wide run in debut, and he had little chance against Kerjillion from a tough post last time.  Lasix on for this, and he's perfectly drawn inside this time.  #9 Brother O'Connell has run into impressive Chad Brown runners in each of his two starts to date, and he had a tough trip last time when ripped back out of good early position before running on late for 3rd.
 
Selections:  13-9-1-8
 
Race 7:  #5 Princess Violet is the horse to beat as she stretches back out after burying open-company sprinters under allowance conditions with a 106 TFUS Speed Figure.  Distance remains a question, but lone prior route try came against Untapable.  #1A Carameaway has found career-best form since returning from a short break this summer, powering away from a  pair of fields after showing good early speed, though she was very much with the track last time, as it was tilted toward the inside.  Faces tall order having to race Princess Violet early.  #3 Sunny Desert has to prove that she can still run up to her top level, but she was against the track when outside all the way behind Carameaway last time, and she was inside one start prior on a day when outside paths were preferred. 
 
Selections:  5-3-1A-8
 
Race 8:
 
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Empire Classic may hinge on the pace scenario, as there appears to be potential for contested fractions between #6 So Lonesome and #8 Sioux, with #2 Sinistra and #3 Saratoga Snacks also projecting to be up close from inside posts.  We will play it that way, and hope that #1A Awesome Vision, the field's lone two-time winner over this distance, can close on them late.  He put in a strong run when being forced out of his game chasing the pace at Finger Lakes the last time he was on fast dirt, and we can't hold the 13-furlong attempt last time against him.  Saratoga Snacks hasn't run up to his best since being switched over to this barn, but he's found traffic both times and has run perhaps the two best races of his career in this race the past two years.  #4 Beautyinthepulpit took advantage of a perfect trip and setup when closing down a good field last time, but he may get lucky once again.  Sioux is the wild card, coming off of back-to-back blowout wins since returning from a layoff, and the 110 TFUS Speed Figure earned for his last race makes him a big player.  Distance the main question for him.
 
Selections:  1A-3-6-4
 
Race 9:  Ticonderoga goes straight through #10 Discreet Marq, a Grade 1-quality NY-bred whose best race leaves these horses with little chance to defeat her.  Pace Projector does indicate that a fast pace is on tap, but she has proven tractable in the past.  We will look for prices to use with her, including #4 Palace Dreams.  She has been using her speed since returning to the races this year, but she has run two of her best races from a tracking position and can factor if employing those tactics with lasix on for the first time.  #6 Strike Accord is an infrequent winner, but she possesses a nice late kick (86 Late Pace Rating is second highest in the main body of the race), which can be used to good effect in this race.  #9 Effie Trinket would be the main danger to the favorite with her best race, but she disappointed without apparent excuse at a short price last time and hasn't won since taking this race by a nose a year ago.  #1A Chrysolite will have to step up her game to get a big piece of this, but she is a closer and can pick up some pieces late.  
 
Selections:  10-4-9-6
 
Race 10:  Wide-open running of the Hudson over 6.5 furlongs is another race projected to be run at a fast pace.  That may suit #5 Big Business, who is a big player on the turn-back, but it will also give #2 West Hills Giant a fair chance.  He has been pace-compromised in each of his last three starts but has closed gamely each time, and he owns the top Late Pace rating in the field (93).  #10 Captain Serious ran perhaps the best race of his life when attacking the talented Bakken on the lead last time.  Has shown the ability to rate in the past.  #4 Weekend Hideaway is also a big player as the ML favorite, but he benefited from a pair of perfect trips when winning back-to-back over this distance prior to trying his luck in Grade 1 company.  
 
Selections:  2-10-5-4
 
Race 11:  #5 Manoffire faced much better than this while earning back-to-back 82 TFUS Speed Figures in pair of starts earlier this year.  Sprints off the layoff with a switch to Lisa Lewis, who has 2 wins and a 2nd from 3 starters off of trainer changes at this meet.  #11 Spider Roll was bumped from both sides out to the back of the field before closing steadily through the stretch in Presque Isle debut.  Also gets a change to an excellent trainer and has found the right kind of field.  #8 Awesome Lute may not be meant for turf, but he has run better than it looks in pair of starts over speed-favoring tracks, and he will add lasix for the first time after being claimed right back by original connections back in June.  
 
Selections:  5-3-11-4

 

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TimeformUS Analysis for October 17

TimeformUS Analyst Mike Beer

TimeformUS Analysis for the racing at gorgeous Belmont Park on Friday October 17

>Go to the TimeformUS PPs for these races

Race 1:  #6 Gabbole has some speed and gave game chase to a front-running winner in MSW debut before settling for a minor award.  Drops down for second start and will be tough on this field if able to make the front.  #1 Grandpa's King got bet but didn't have speed and raced greenly throughout Saratoga debut.  Took some time to regroup for trainer who scores perfect 100 Trainer Rating with 2yo maiden claimers on dirt.  #5 Havermeyer Street is a first-time starter with a solid 89 Breeding Rating for dirt sprints and goes for a trainer who does well with 2yos debuting in maiden claiming company (90 rating).  
 
Selections:  6-1-5-4
 
Race 2:  #4 Brass Pear gets the right class drop for this.  Caught up in a fast pace duel last time, he may have an easier time of it up front in here according to Pace Projector.  #2 Brendan G also paid the price after contesting a solid pace in his last start. Wound up settling for his 8th runner-up finish from 15 career starts.  New trainer doesn't claim much, but does a good job with new acquisitions.  #5 Ice Wagon has run well in last three starts at this level without winning, but faced a tougher overall group last time (87 Race Rating, vs. today's 80). 
 
Selections:  4-2-5-3
 
Race 3:  Someone in this field of nine entered for turf is going to step forward, and we'll hope that it's #9 On Tenterhooks, who switches to turf for his third start after chasing the freakish Daredevil in the mud last time.  More Than Ready colt gets a strong 91 Breeding Rating for turf, and Pace Projector indicates that he may be loose on the early lead in this spot.  #12 Night Prowler raced on gamely after a nice inside trip to be 3rd behind #3 Sleeping Giant in his debut.  Well-bred and well-connected colt is eligible to step it up in second start.  
 
Selections:  9-12-5-11
 

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Race 4:  #8 Discreet Kaz gets a 91 Breeding Rating for dirt sprints (dam won 4 dirt sprints in her career and was stakes-placed multiple times while posting a TFUS Speed Figure top of 101) and starts for a trainer who can win with first-time starters (94 rating from a limited sample).  Has found a likely spot if he can run a little.  If not him, then we can give #5 Bad to the Roan one more chance back on dirt, as he was compromised by inside-speed-favoring tracks in two of his three career starts before the layoff.  
 
Selections:  8-5-6-7
 
Race 5:  We'll see if #4 Annie Walker can carry her speed all the way this time, as Pace Projector once again places her in the driver's seat early.  Stamina has been an issue to this point, though she may not have appreciated the muddy going last time.  We'll play against her with #2 Canal Six, who goes for an excellent young trainer and who will appreciate pace to close into as she turns back to a better distance.  We can also give the improving #9 Jcs American Dream another chance here after she encountered that same wet track when finishing ahead of Annie Walker last time.  
 
 
Selections: 2-4-9-7
 

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Race 6:  #2 Street Game is better than these horses with his good race, and he was compromised by a tactical error when defeated as the favorite last time.  Pace Projector places him in a perfect trip stalking the early leader.  #8 Went the Day Well showed promise as a turf horse at the beginning of his career, but didn't race over grass for almost three full years prior to his last start.  Didn't run poorly at all that day when holding position all the way around after a front-running winner on a slow pace.  Don't care for the race that #1 Analysis and #3 Majestic Raffy are exiting, but they have better races than that to get to, and Majestic Raffy had plenty of traffic trouble in that spot.
 
Selections:  2-8-3-1
 
Race 7:  #4 Wickapecko drops in class for third start back from a layoff, and she will appreciate this turn-back in distance as she has been at her best sprinting on grass.  Plenty of speed signed on to this race, which may help her settle a little better after getting rank going longer in her fist two starts this year.  #11 Double the Energy also drops in class, and she has the tactical ability to take up a nice tracking spot away from the speedy #1 Insolvent.  She has consistently run the best races in this field and is clearly the one to beat.  #2 Mighty Reward is a bigger price and will appreciate the class relief she gets today, and #3 Sunrise Kitty has run well enough over sprint distances several times in the past to be competitive here.
 
Selections:  4-11-2-3
 
Race 8:  #8 Madaket Millie's dirt debut back in July was a solid effort that earned her a 95 TFUS Speed Figure, and a repeat makes her tough in here.  She has faced better horses since then but has not been competitive.  If playing against her, we are most interested in #4 Whispering.  She has also faced better in limited dirt tries, but earned a new top of 93 when returned to the main track last time, and she has improved her figures right along.  
 
Selections:  4-8-5-3
 
Race 9:  #6 Throckmorton ran into severe traffic and emerged unlucky from Saratoga debut; then was kept wide all the way when wired as the favorite last time.  One more chance, adding blinkers with a trainer change.  #10 Idiosyncratic put in a long wide run all the way through the final turn in a roughly run race and carried on well through the stretch.  Can do better with a clean trip.  #11 Veya landed in a fast-paced race first time out as a 3yo, and he wound up down on the inside for much of the running before weakening late.  Has solid 2yo form to build upon.  
 
Selections:  6-10-11-5
 

 

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