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Forbes' Firsters

 

Forbes’ Firsters is a series that takes a glance at the pedigrees and sales histories of select 2-year-olds who are making their debuts in maiden special weight races at Aqueduct Racetrack, Belmont Park, or Saratoga Race Course. Many of history’s best horses have commenced their careers in New York, and Forbes’ Firsters will help fans find the stars of tomorrow as they head postward for the first time.

 

Forbes’ Firsters for Thursday, July 24, 2014

Susie Raisher

Forbes’ Firsters for Thursday, July 24, 2014

Race 2, All 2-year-olds, five furlongs, dirt, 1 p.m.

BULLY PROOF (dark bay or brown colt, Bellamy Road—Flaming Slew, by Slew City Slew) is the first foal from his dam, Flaming Slew, who finished third in the G1 Coaching Club American Oaks when it was 1 ¼ miles at Belmont Park. Flaming Slew broke her maiden at three in a career that saw her earn $188,630. Bully Proof exceeded the average auction price for his sire.

Owner: Alan R. Cook, Larry Pratt, and Jacquie Dalton

Trainer: Todd Pletcher

Jockey: Javier Castellano

Sales history: $55,000 Fasig-Tipton October yearling

 

VILLALOBOS (bay colt, Desert Party—Rokeby Rosie, by Prized) is the seventh registered foal of his dam, three of whom have won from five starters. Rokeby Rosie is a half-sister to Hall of Fame member Silverbulletday. A champion at two and three, Silverbulletday earned more than $3 million in a career that included five Grade 1 victories, including Saratoga’s own Alabama. Silverbulletday is the dam of stakes-placed Tice, while her daughters have turned out a pair of graded stakes winners in Shakin It Up and Govenor Charlie. A second half-sister to Rokeby Rosie, Garden Secrets, has produced a pair of graded stakes winners, including Grade 1 Acorn winner Forest Secrets.

Owner: Nicholas Cammarano, Jr.

Trainer: Guadalupe Preciado

Jockey: Rosie Napravnik

Sales history: $90,000 Fasig-Tipton July yearling, $75,000 OBS April 2-year-old (one furlong in 10 2/5 seconds, video)

 

FORBES’ FIRSTERS ELIGIBILITY REQUIREMENTS

To be eligible for Forbes’ Firsters, a first-time starter running in a non-statebred race must meet at least one of the following criteria:

? Is out of a graded-stakes-winning mare

? Is a sibling to a graded-stakes winner

? Is out of a Grade 1-placed mare

? Is a sibling to a Grade 1-placed runner

? Is out of a black-type earning mare who earned at least $300,000

? Is a sibling to a black-type earner who has earned at least $300,000

? Has a second dam who was a Grade 1 winner

? Has a second dam who produced a Grade 1 winner

? Sold for at least $300,000 at auction

 

Forbes’ Firsters is a collaboration among Jon Forbes, Susie Raisher, and Lily Pierce

 

Forbes’ Firsters for Wednesday, July 23, 2014

Jon Forbes

Forbes’ Firsters for Wednesday, July 23, 2014

Race 2, 2-year-old fillies, five furlongs, dirt, 1:00 p.m.

DESIGNER SOXX (dark bay or brown filly, Half Ours—Elegant Designer, by Suave Prospect) is a half-sister to Designer Legs, who won last year’s Grade 2 Adirondack by disqualification. Their dam, who has produced two winners from as many starters, won four stakes, including the NTRA Great State Challenge Juvenile Fillies Invitational.

Owner: Valene Farm

Trainer: Dallas Stewart

Jockey: Brian Hernandez, Jr.

Sales history: $45,000 Breeders Sales Company of Louisiana yearling

 

OVERSPENDING(bay filly, Harlan’s Holiday—Marfa’s Squall, by Marfa) is a half-sister to Western Prize, who won stakes at Zia Park, Albuquerque, and Ruidoso on the dirt and was third in the Grade 3 Hawthorne Derby on the turf; and Wicked Deed, who took the Tiffany Lass at the Fair Grounds. Their dam, who has produced seven winners from seven starters, is a half-sister to restricted stakes winners Wadif and Western Quality.

Owner: Repole Stable

Trainer: Todd Pletcher

Jockey: John Velazquez

Sales history: $100,000 Fasig-Tipton October yearling; $340,000 OBS March 2-year-old (one furlong in 10 seconds, video)

 

FORBES’ FIRSTERS ELIGIBILITY REQUIREMENTS

To be eligible for Forbes’ Firsters, a first-time starter running in a non-statebred race must meet at least one of the following criteria:

? Is out of a graded-stakes-winning mare

? Is a sibling to a graded-stakes winner

? Is out of a Grade 1-placed mare

? Is a sibling to a Grade 1-placed runner

? Is out of a black-type earning mare who earned at least $300,000

? Is a sibling to a black-type earner who has earned at least $300,000

? Has a second dam who was a Grade 1 winner

? Has a second dam who produced a Grade 1 winner

? Sold for at least $300,000 at auction

 

Forbes’ Firsters is a collaboration among Jon Forbes, Susie Raisher, and Lily Pierce

 

Forbes’ Firsters for Monday, July 21, 2014

Jon Forbes

 

Forbes’ Firsters for Monday, July 21, 2014

Race 2, 2-year-old fillies, 5 ½ furlongs, turf, 1:31 p.m.

NEILINGER (bay filly, Tapit—Pursuit of Glory, by Fusaichi Pegasus) is the first foal out of a mare who was third in the Group 1 Cheveley Park at Ireland and is a granddaughter of Sophisticat, who won the Group 1 Coronation in England and was third in the Group 1 Poule d’Essai des Pouliches (French 1,000 Guineas). Neilinger’s third dam is Hall of Famer Serena Song, also the dam of Grade 2 Oaklawn Park Handicap winner Grand Reward and Grade 2 Gulfstream Park Handicap victor Harlington.

Owner: Lee Pokoik

Trainer: Gary Contessa

Jockey: Julien Leparoux

Sales history: $205,000 OBS April 2-year-old (one furlong in 10 1/5 seconds, video)

 

RIDDLE ME THIS (dark bay or brown filly, Eskendereya—Queen Joanne, by Mr. Greeley) is the first foal out of his dam, who was second in the Pebbles on the turf. Queen Joanne herself is a half-sister to Stevie Wonderboy, who won the Grade 1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile and Grade 2 Del Mar Futurity en route to being named Champion Two-Year-Old Male, and Theyskens’ Theory, who won the Group 3 Prestige in England and was second in the Grade 1 Garden City.

Owner: Michael Dubb, Bethlehem Stables, and The Elkstone Group

Trainer: Rudy Rodriguez

Jockey: Junior Alvarado

Sales history: $100,000 Keeneland September yearling

 

DELAWARE BAY (dark bay or brown filly, Scat Daddy—Two Dot Slew, by Evansville Slew) is a half-sister to Angelica Zapata, who has won two turf stakes, an all-weather stakes, and six dirt stakes. Her turf stakes wins came in the Wasted Tears at Gulfstream Park and Capuano Handicap at Calder. The only other starter out of Two Dot Slew won two races on the dirt and one over an all-weather surface. Two Dot Slew placed in a single stakes on the turf and three on the dirt and is a half-sister to Dash of Humor, who won stakes on both surfaces.

Owner: Richlyn Farm Inc.

Trainer: George Weaver

Jockey: Edgar Prado

Sales history: $130,000 OBS April 2-year-old (one furlong in 10 1/5 seconds, video)

 

RAINHA DA BATERIA (chestnut filly, Broken Vow—Amelia, by Dixieland Band) is half-sister to Kindergarden Kid, who won the Grade 3 Sycamore on the turf and was third in the Grade 1 Joe Hirsch Turf Classic Invitational; He’s Had Enough, second in the Grade 1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile; and Assateague, third in the Pebbles on the grass. Their dam won the Frances E. Genter over the spinach. Rainha Da Bateria’s second dam, Aguilegia, won the Grade 2 New York Handicap and Grade 3 Black Helen Handicap on the turf and also produced Bertolini, who won the Group 3 July Stakes in England and placed in three Group 1 races in Europe, and Alchemilla, who took a restricted stakes on the dirt at Belmont.

Owner: Three Chimneys Farm

Trainer: H. Graham Motion

Jockey: Rajiv Maragh

Sales history: $435,000 Keeneland September yearling

 

FORBES’ FIRSTERS ELIGIBILITY REQUIREMENTS

To be eligible for Forbes’ Firsters, a first-time starter running in a non-statebred race must meet at least one of the following criteria:

* Is out of a graded-stakes-winning mare

* Is a sibling to a graded-stakes winner

* Is out of a Grade 1-placed mare

* Is a sibling to a Grade 1-placed runner

* Is out of a black-type earning mare who earned at least $300,000

* Is a sibling to a black-type earner who has earned at least $300,000

* Has a second dam who was a Grade 1 winner

* Has a second dam who produced a Grade 1 winner

* Sold for at least $300,000 at auction

 

TimeformUS Analysis for July 21

TimeformUS Analyst Mike Beer

TimeformUS Analysis for racing on Monday July 21

Race 1:  Several options to choose from in this contentious opener full of lightly raced NY-bred maidens, but we're most interested in giving #5 Cuantos a chance.  He raced greenly though kickback early before moving right up behind the impressive winner on the lead coming to the stretch; he ultimately came up empty in the stretch, but showed enough ability in there to suggest that he can improve with racing.   Our main backup in the Pick 5 will be #8 Greg's Fourwheeler, who gets a cut-back in distance after failing to impact after a wide run over a mile last time; sprint debut was promising as he was wide there, as well, but raced on gamely. 
 
Selections: 5-8-6-3
 
 
Race 2:  We'll keep an eye on the will-pays in an attempt to get a handle on the first-time starters, but they may have to be able to go a little if #1 Lamontagne stays in for trainer Wesley Ward; gray filly has flashed high speed in all three career starts (2 of those vs. colts), and she was given an ill-advised ride last time when pulled sharply back off the pace after leaving the gate running; has the kind of speed that can make things tough on her inexperienced rivals. 
 
Selections: 1-2-6-8
 
 
Race 3:  Going with speed again in race 3, as #1 Annie Walker takes the next step after finally putting together a full effort in demolition of maiden claiming company last time; Pace Projector doesn't agree that she's fastest of these early, but we think she can make the running from the rail and will benefit from the slight turn-back here.  
 
7_21_R3
 
#5 Wraith may be the main danger, as she has run several TimeformUS Speed Figures that are faster than Annie Walker's best, but she doesn't have much speed, and this race may not come back to her.
 
Selections:  1-5-2-3
 
 
Race 4:  Toughest race in this Pick 5 sequence here, as 11 maiden claimers line up to go seven furlongs without a standout in the group.  Think there's a chance that drop-downs #4 Tony B and #6 Artemus Paperboy hook up early and hurt each other, but they also may just be better than their somewhat modest competition here.  We're most interested in #5 Wild Skye as an alternative to them, as he raced very greenly in both prior starts, and his lack of professionalism really cost him last time. 
 
Selections:  4-6-5-11
 

2014-07-17_17-50-56

 

Race 5:  Field full of hard-hitting turf sprinters is open to several, but we're going to cast our lot with #8 Isn'tlovejustgrand, who has been holding strong form since being switched back to grass; parlayed a perfect trip into a win over a salty group of $40k claimers two starts back, and he was dead-game with an aggressive ride contesting the pace going longer last time. 

 
Selections:  8-4-3-5
 
 
Race 6:  #1 Make Your Point remained a disappointment on the main track but ran a better race last time with blinkers on, chasing a very fast pace up the backstretch before inheriting an early lead and then weakening late from her early exertions; turf start two back was only OK at a big price, but that race has produced three horses who have won a race since.  
 
7_21_R6
 
#3 Fire Ship switched to turf for the first time in career start #9 and found herself hooked into a fast duel early, and was swallowed up by the closers once she put her early rival away; with the pace of that race taken into account, she actually ran the top last TimeformUS Speed Figure in the field, and may be the horse to beat in this weak $40k maiden claimer. We've tried #4 Dixie Gem in the past at big prices, and her turf debut actually wasn't a poor effort at a big price; offered nothing last time, but gets a class drop for this.  #7 Burndownthetown has the pedigree to be a runner, but has so far offered little on the track; dropping in vs. maiden claimers may help.  
 
Selections:  1-3-4-7
 
 
Race 7:  Seen enough of the familiar names in this field lately, and want a new face to try against them.  Most interested in trying #9 Dreamsgonewild off the layoff, as he will offer value.  #11 With Exultation once had promise for Christophe Clement, and has run a couple of good races recently out of town with new blinkers; maybe he just wanted to sprint all along?  #10 Sandy'z Slew is logical as the horse to beat; ran well enough when back to turf-sprinting last time, but that was a race that really held together up front.  We like #6 Western Tryst, who needs some pace to run into, but want a good price in order to use.
 
Selections: 9-11-10-6
 
 
Race 8:  Short but strong field assembled for this $100k stakes, which attracted three Grade 1 winners among the six entered.  If you're looking for an alternative to the more accomplished runners, #3 Bridgehampton has the speed and ran a big race when last seen at Parx, running away from a challenge coming to the stretch and getting clear to a much-the-best win; she has upside, and Pace Projector puts her on the lead to advantage here, but has never been beyond six furlongs.  #4 My Miss Aurelia could easily have been retired with her value as a broodmare already established with three Grade 1 wins, so the fact that she returns to the track suggests that she has something left.  #2 Grace Hall hasn't won a race since the end of her three-year-old season, but she never got going at four, and is now third back from the layoff; not so sure that turning back to shorter races going forward won't suit her well.
 
Selections:  3-4-2-1
 
 
Race 9:  Strong-looking $40k claimer restricted to non-winners of two races lifetime features a trio of well-connected droppers drawn toward the inside in #1 Branded Hand, #3 Belly of the Whale, and #4 Honor the Kitten.  We'll put Honor the Kitten on top for now, but realistically, price should determine where your money should go.  #10 H Town Brown just took a field of $50k maiden claimers wire to wire, and his speed is an asset, but these connections have been getting way overbet since the meet began.
 
Selections:  4-3-1-10
 
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