NYRA

The New York Racing Association


LIVE RACING RETURNS TO AQUEDUCT RACETRACK ON WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 29. FIRST POST IS 1:00 PM.

Print this Page Bookmark and Share

Blog

TimeformUS Race Analysis

 

 

resize1-200 greatdeals resize3-200

 

 

TimeformUS Analysis September 1

TimeformUS Analyst Mike Beer

TimeformUS Analysis of the Racing at Saratoga on Monday September 1

Race 1:  #2 Cushion wound up going a fast pace when stretched to 1 1/2 miles in stakes company last time.  She was impressive in her win over this distance off the layoff downstate, and she is perfectly drawn for the cut-back.  #3 Keening has picked up her game since being switched back to turf, and she earned the top last-out speed figure for game runner-up finish last time.  #1A Kitten's Queen has run well twice up here already and picked up a win over this trip last time.  She was a game 2nd to the talented Crown Queen one start prior, and is a threat if she's the half of the entry that goes. 
 
Selections:  2-3-1A-8
 
Race 2:  #5 Moonlight Fantasy raced very greenly throughout her debut and was left far behind her talented stablemate Girlabouttown, who rolled away to a big win in the stretch.  Figures better for having had that run for a trainer who gets perfect 100 rating with second-time starters.  #4 Sweet Sweet Afleet is a half to a pair of multiple winners, and she hails from a very strong female family (87 pedigree rating, dam and second dam both stakes winners).  Ships in from Finger Lakes with some good works in tow.  #3 Saharan Serenade has yet to make an impact through four starts, but she had trouble at the start the last time she was on dirt, and she was outrun over an inside-speed favoring track one start before that. 
 
Selections:  5-4-3-8
 
Race 3:  2yo NY-breds will sprint on turf to close out the Pick 3.  #3 Memories of Peter is a full brother to Image of Noon and Image of Disco, who have both earned over $140k on grass.  #5 Mark My Style is a half to a pair of turf winners, and his dam won the Grade 3 Pebbles Stakes on grass a few years ago.  #9 Fleeting (94 pedigree rating for turf sprints) is from the female family of Plenty of Grace, a multiple Grade 2 winner on grass, and a sister to turf champion Soaring Softly.  #10 Cats Landing's dam was a turf winner, and she is a half to Incurable Optimist, who was undefeated in four career turf starts, including a pair of graded stakes.
 
Selections:  3-5-9-10 
 
Race 4:  #6 Competitive Edge was perhaps the most impressive 2yo to debut in NY this year, and he takes the next step for Pletcher.  Has some quality speed to deal with in this race, as well as an experienced stakes-winning rival, so he'll have to be as good as advertised.  #5 I Spent It is 2-for-2 and already a stakes winner.  There is no substitute for experience, and he was professional coming through on the inside to win the Saratoga Special.  #3 Requite got bet and then toyed with MSW rivals earlier in the meet.  We were impressed with him, but this is a tough spot.
 
Selections:  6-5-3-4
 
Race 5:  #5 Keen's Cupla finished well behind a clear-cut winner in his debut, and he endured a very tough trip behind Shimba last time on dirt.  Dangerous at a price as he cuts back and switches from turf to dirt.  #7 Stenson disappointed when last seen over a muddy sealed track, but he had run quite well in all three prior starts and is eligible to have developed further during his down time.  #1 Shimba got away poorly from the gate when switched to dirt last time, then finished gamely behind a strong winner to be 2nd best.  Has to break cleanly from the rail, but he's the horse to beat.  
 
Selections:  5-7-1-3
 
Race 6:  #11 Abilio is at his best on the lead but hasn't made the front since running a gutsy 4th at a huge price in a tough Mohawk last October.  Has to use his speed from the outside in this paceless field, and if he does, Pace Projector indicates that he'll have all the best of it.  #12 Monument Hill also has enough speed to get position from his tough post, and he is the horse to beat in here assuming he can pull a trip.  #7 Depeche Chat drops in class after a no-factor effort earlier in the meet.  Has enough speed to be up close, and is good enough with his best effort.
 
Selections:  11-12-7-4
 
Race 7:  Interested to see what we get from #1 Carpe Diem, a half to Grade 1 winner J B's Thunder who debuts for Pletcher.  Brought $1.6 million after working 10.1 in March, and shows up here with a pair of fast recent gate works.  #2 Old Mexico is a firster for Asmussen, who has brought them over ready all meet, and he's a half to three winners.  #9 Because I'm Happy debuts for a dangerous trainer, and #8 Ask Chuck is a half to Grade 1-winning sprinter Here Comes Ben.  
 
Selections:  1-9-2-8
 
Race 8:  Wide-open dirt route for entry level allowance runners drew a full field and is projected to have a strung-out field, with plenty of speed signed on.  We'll hope that helps #1 Wizardly most, as he's a late-running type, and he was finishing gamely over a shorter trip in the mud last time.  #7 Grand Strand has disappointed to this point, but he's off the claim for dangerous connections and he may appreciate getting stretched out in distance.  #11 None Like Nolan will have to step it up off his recent maiden win, but he has upside and will appreciate being able to make one run into this race after forcing the pace out wide en route to that victory. 
 
Selections: 1-7-11-2
 
Race 9:  We liked #8 Bashart a bit last time and were dead wrong as he never got involved in the Hall of Fame, which was upset by #10 Wallyanna.  Still, he ran well off the layoff when contesting a fast pace all the way, and we'll give him a chance to rebound, as we expect that he will be forwardly placed this time in a race that is projected to favor the horses up close.  #5 Storm is facing tougher, but he's undefeated on grass and already a two-time winner over this distance.  Horse he ran over late last time came back to confirm the quality of that effort in Saturday's night cap.  #1 Ring Weekend may be best positioned to take advantage of the expected pace, as he draws the rail with enough speed, but we're expecting him to be a bit over bet off his last race, in which he ran well, but not overly so in our opinion.
 
Selections:  8-5-1-6
 
Race 10: #2 Socialsaul is a question mark after being pulled up and vanned off when last seen, but his new trainer is having a breakout meet, and he's consistently done well with older horses like this off the claim   #10 Shankopotamus looks for three straight in the right spot to close out the meet, and a repeat of his last up here will likely be enough to get it done.  #6 I Want You to Know and #8 Moe Man are both getting the proper cut back in distance here after trying longer races that did not suit them.  
 
Selections:  2-10-6-8

 

Screen_Shot_2014-08-05_at_10.01.16_PM

 

TimeformUS Race Analysis August 31

TimeformUS Analyst Mike Beer

TimeformUS Analysis of Sunday's Races at Saratoga

 
Race 1:  #9 High Jinks failed to fire when last seen at Arlington and was given some time off by her new connections.  Is entered back in a spot where they can't lose her, and if she is ready to return to form, she will be tough in here.  
 
#11 Flamingo Lane has made few mistakes so far this year and just failed to take a much better field all the way after getting loose on the lead up here early in the meet.  #1 Lady Candidate has the speed from the inside post and Pace Projector places her in early control.  Her turf form is nothing special, but she's faced better horses right along.  
 
#6 Revealing Moment has shown herself to be a better horse on turf recently, and she has the tactical ability to pull the right trip in this race.  Distance is the question for her as she has rarely ventured beyond sprint distances and has fared poorly when attempting to do so.  
 
Selections:  9-11-1-6
 
 

spaunlimited

 
Race 2:  #2 Ginny's Grey drops back down and cuts back to a better distance for second start off the claim.  Was an easy winner over a one-turn mile two starts back, and was also victorious in only start over this distance.  
 
8_31_R3
 
#5 Coast of Sangria has won her last four starts at around this level, including a convincing score up here on July 30th after contesting the pace all the way.  Claimed again, but she's run well for several different outfits in the past.  
 
#4 Go Olivia Go bounced back from a tough trip early in the meet to post an easy win over $16k claimers last time.  Similar effort makes her tough right back for owner looking for wins at the end of the meet.
 
Selections:  2-5-4-8
 
 
Race 3:  #3 River Rocks cruised to an easy victory over a muddy track without facing a challenge here last month, but he was dead game when forced to chase a fast pace one start prior, and figures in control of this race early.  
 
Main threat may come from #1 Salutos Amigos, who is dropping back into the right kind of race after trying graded stakes recently.  He is not slow early, and he has shown signs of beginning to deliver on his early promise since being sent to this trainer earlier in the year. 
 
Selections:  1-3-5-2
 
 
Race 4:  #9 Yellow Mountain has faced better horses than this right along, and he ran the best race of his life up here last summer.  Drops in class for the first time after getting in a prep sprinting off the layoff.  
 
#8 Belly of the Whale finished best of the three exiting the finale from July 21st, which was wired by longshot Overton Square.  Entered right back at the same level off the claim and will have a better set-up today according to Pace Projector.  
 
#11 Q Two exits one of the slower 9-furlong races you're likely to see, but he's a full to Bright Abundance, who was a Grade 3 winner on turf and earned almost $380k on that surface.  
 
Selections:  9-8-11-6
 
 
Race 5:  #5 Night Officer doesn't have any early speed, so he'll need some hitting up front to have his best chance. He was badly compromised in both Gulfstream starts earlier in the year, and he has races good enough to win this at a price.
 
# 6 Hear the Footsteps will also need a little pace to develop, but he's at his best sprinting on turf, and the shorter the better.  
 
#1 Upgrade is the best horse in the race, but may not be best over this short sprint distance, so we can try to beat him today.  
 
#11 Escapist didn't break sharply from the gate and never got a chance to use his ample speed in stakes company last time.  Steps up to face some tough and accomplished horses today, but he defeated a solid field of older runners two starts back.
 
Selections: 5-6-1-11
 
 
Race 6:  #4 Emotional Kitten is a question mark going this far but she ran well in the American Oaks over 1 1/4 miles last year, and she's endured back-to-back no-chance trips.  Will give her a chance to step it up, while realizing that it's not an easy spot.  
 
#6 Irish Mission also took tough trip in that Matchmaker last time, and she is a very dangerous horse in here who will have no problem with the distance.  
 
#7 Cat's Claw faces her toughest test to date, but she's passed them all so far in impressive fashion and she will stay all day.  
 
#10 Caroline Thomas has been unlucky in the past, but she fits well in this field and may be the right kind of price to take a shot with.
 
Selections:  4-6-7-10
 
 
Race 7:  #8 Feathered earned a 90 TimeformUS Speed Figure when coming up short first time out against Spinaway-bound Winter Dawn.  Faces mostly first-time starters here and figures tough on them if running as well again today.  
 
#1 Lady Serena is poorly drawn on the rail for her debut, but she's bred to be a runner as a half to major graded stakes winners Honor Code and Noble Tune from the family of the great Serena's Song.  
 
#10 Red Hot Heels is a Tapit, which automatically makes her eligible to be a runner, and her dam is a sister to a pair of multiple graded stakes winners.  
 
Selections:  8-10-1-2
 
 
Race 8:  #11 T Sizzle will have to work something out from his outside post, but he was an extremely unlucky loser in his turf debut last time and has enough pedigree to handle the stretch out.  
 
#3 Alexahente couldn't get clear in the stretch and it cost him in his debut up here last month.  
 
#4 Idiosyncratic was a bit buzzy around this time last year but never made it to the races.  Trainer has had typical good meet with first-time starters, but mostly with 2yo's.  
 
Selections:  11-3-4-6
 
 
Race 9:  #3 Chapman is a need-the-lead type, but he may be fastest early in this matchup and he owns the four fastest TimeformUS Speed Figures in the field.  
 
8_3
 
#4 John's Island has upside as he drops out of Grade 2 try, as does #10 Big Guy Ian, who has faced much better horses to this point and fits better in this spot.  Figures to pull the right trip from his outside post.  
 
Wildcard is #6 Mar de Mares, who took unlucky DQ at Parx last time and has hit the wire first in all five career starts.
 
Selections:  3-4-10-6
 
 
Race 10:  #5 Darling Sky ships in for dangerous trainer off impressive debut victory while overcoming greenness at Parx.  
 
#4 By the Moon took advantage of a perfect trip to win first time out, but we respect the horse she defeated that day and like that she's trained right along for the quietly hot Michelle Nevin.  
 
#2 Angela Renee may be the one to beat, as she has the experience for Pletcher, but we're not so sure that she has much of an edge on this field.  
 
Selections:  5-4-2-1
 
 
Race 11:  Pace Projector indicates that a fast pace is on tap for this $25k claimer, and that figures to help #11 Cheyenne Nation, who was way best with a wide trip last time and drops looking for another win.  
 
#6 Madris was in too tough at Monmouth last time, but he fits better at this level and may get the best of the trips from his inside post.  
 
#8 Hard Enough takes highly suspicious drop off the claim, but he's the best horse in the race, assuming all is well with him (a pretty big "if," perhaps). 
 
Selections:  6-11-8-5
 
 
Race 12:  #10 Ostrolenka is a half to a pair of multiple winners and six-figure earners; debuts for Pletcher.  
 
#5 Persuasive Devil has valuable experience and has run well enough in both starts to ensure that the firsters will have to be able to run a little.  
 
#2 Chasing Bubbles is a half to the stakes-winning sprinter Sentimental Lass, who earned over $160k in her career.  
 
Selections:  10-5-2-6
 

 

black-white-TFUS-logo_copy

 

TimeformUS Race Analysis August 30

TimeformUS Analyst Mike Beer

TimeformUS Analysis of Saturday's Races at Saratoga

 
Race 1:  With most of our interest in the opener held by runners marooned on the AE list, we will be awaiting scratches before finalizing our opinion.  #12 Royal Squeeze and #13 King of New York both ran well behind a slow pace back on August 9th, a race in which favored Designed for War went wire to wire.  Royal Squeeze appeared to be the horse more in need of that race as he hesitated at the break and was trailing the field all the way before putting in a run through the stretch.  
 
Assuming they don't get in, #3 Firespike is logical, having run two good races already.  
 
Firsters #5 Sierra Delta (dam is a sister to BC Juvenile Turf winner George Vancouver) and #7 Epsilon (half-brother to multiple Grade 1 winner Alpha) have the best pedigrees.  
 
Selections:  12-13-3-5
 
 

spaunlimited

 
Race 2:  #4 Two Weeks Off found himself in a tough spot in debut when forced to chase a hot firster in Requite (will go in Monday's Grade 1 Hopeful) while down on the rail all the way.  Finished gamely to be second best in there and figures to have benefited from the experience.
 
#1 Da Jenius also exits that race won by Requite, and he was racing on through the stretch after getting out-paced early.  He has a big pedigree and is eligible to come forward quickly with racing.  #2 Escalate is a half-brother to a pair of prolific stakes winners and debuts for a trainer who has 2 wins and 2 seconds from five 2yo first-time starters on dirt at this meet.
 
#6 Gold Shield is a son of Dream Supreme, who won a pair of Grade 1 sprints at Saratoga, and he is a half to Majestic Warrior, who was also a Grade 1 winner up here. Brought $1 million as a yearling, and trainer has shown more intent with first-time starters recently.  
 
Selections:  4-1-2-9
 
 
Race 3:  This race hinges on how you feel about #5 Mshawish, who is making his second start in this country and second for Pletcher after holding his own in group company overseas.  He disappointed in Grade 3 company last time, but he looked hard to handle early in that race and wound up in an early wide run at the lead up the backstretch.  Pace Projector indicates that there will be a fast pace in front of him today, which should allow him to settle this time.  
 
We like what we've seen of #7 Dangerous Lad recently at Monmouth, especially that last one, when he broke through the gate prior to powering through a fast mile.  He doesn't need the lead to win, and he posted an upset win up here last summer.  
 
#6 Marine Patrol has races that make him competitive, and he is another who will appreciate having some pace to close into.  #1A Compliance Officer has lost a step or two, and may be better with some cut in the ground, but he's at his best when able to settle off and make one run, and that style will play well in this field.  
 
Selections:  5-7-6-1A
 
 
Race 4:  Both #5 El Kabeir and #7 Royal Son ran well first-time out, and it is going to be hard to be against both of those horses in this spot.  El Kabeir has to stretch out 2 furlongs today, but he adds lasix and he had trouble at the start behind a pair of fast horses first time out.  Royal Son gave the appearance of a horse who would appreciate more ground in his debut and he gets it here.  May want to go even farther than this, but he's the horse to beat for Pletcher.  
 
#3 Kick Off lands in a tough spot for his first start, but he has a big pedigree for top connections. 
 
Selections:  5-7-3-6
 
 
Race 5:  Grade 2 Bernard Baruch features the return of #4 Wise Dan and he is, of course, the horse to beat.  Have to question, at least a little, how sharp he will be after missing time to undergo colic surgery, but he's better than these horses with something approaching his best.  
 
Because today is the day to try to beat him, we will try to get #8 Five Iron out in front of him early.  He was impressive when wiring the Fort Marcy on a solid pace, and he was hooked into a fast duel before tiring in his last start.
 
Selections:  8-4-10-1A
 
 
Race 6:  #11 Non Stop may have begun tailing off, but he was running races earlier in the year that make him very tough in here, and his trainer has had an excellent meet.  
 
#10 Prosecution cut a fast pace and stayed stubbornly going longer last time, and he figures to benefit from the turn-back in distance today based on his recent efforts in one-turn miles at Churchill.  Tactical speed from an outside post in a race projected to favor runners on or near the early lead is a positive.  
 
#4 Regulus is not an interesting price on the ML in a field as competitive as this one, but he's run well in each of his last three starts, and we thought he ran a better race than #6 Real Estate Rich when taking part in a pace that collapsed last time. 
 
Selections:  11-10-4-7
 
 
Race 7:  #3 Hope Cross is very unlucky to still be a maiden after three starts, as it could easily be argued that she was best all three times she has run so far.  She's the horse to beat, but we will take a shot against her with #4 Colorful.  
 
Colorful makes her second start today after getting rated back and racing on late in an educational debut for a trainer who tends to give his 2yos a race.  
 
#9 Shift Colors settled back and came with a late run two starts back, then showed speed and was outfinished at the end last time, and will be first lasix today.  
 
#2 Angel Choir has narrowly failed to pull off big upsets in each of her last two starts.  She drew a much better post toward the inside today, but is unlikely to be a big price this time.
 
Selections:  4-3-9-12
 
 
Race 8:  Solid edition of the Grade 2 Prioress features four dropping out of the Grade 1 Test, and #8 Princess Violet, who tried Untapable in the Mother Goose back in June.  We are mildly against the Test horses while recognizing that #6 Miss Behaviour, who ran extremely well in that race, is the one to beat.  
 
We like the prospects of #2 Stonetastic, who was finally back to sprinting off the layoff and impressed in romping win that day.  
 
#1 Thirteen Arrows has also given the impression of being a horse of this caliber, and can come forward off of workmanlike victory over inferior rivals in first start off the trainer change. 
 
Selections:  2-6-1-8
 
 
Race 9:  With our Pace Projector indicating that a fast pace is on tap for this 5.5-furlong turf sprint, we will give the closers some extra consideration.  Both #1 Orient Harbor and #8 Ballerina Belle were compromised when the pace failed to develop in a similar race on August 9th, but they both ran well and can take advantage of a more favorable scenario today.  
 
We will try #3 Gratitude on top, as she was also compromised up here on opening day when trying to sweep the field while wide in a race that held together up front.  
 
Selections:  3-1-8-5
 
 
Race 10:  Grade 1 Forego goes through #8 Clearly Now.  He's proven himself to be difficult to trust, but he's a real talent, and if he shows up here with anything like his powerhouse effort in the Belmont Sprint Championship, he's tough to beat.  
 
#6 Palace earned well-deserved Grade 1 last time while forced to chase a lone speed all the way around the track.  He's underrated and capable.  
 
Most likely upsetters are #3 Vyjack, who is finally concentrating on the right races and who put in a run behind Palace last time after trouble at the start, or, perhaps, the speedy #4 Zee Bros.  He got in a prep over a sloppy track earlier in the meet, and he has dangerous speed. 
 
Selections:  8-3-6-4
 
 
Race 11:  #4 Moreno and #2 Itsmyluckyday both ran well in the Whitney, and they are the two horses to beat in the Woodward.  We'll expect that Itsmyluckyday may be a little more aggressively handled from his inside post today, which may give him a better shot to turn the tables but may also make for a more honestly run race, which could bring some of the others into contention.  
 
We'll try to upset the favorites with #1 Long River.  He's not a good shipper, but he's improved since returning from a layoff at the end of last year, and he appeared to get in a tour of the racetrack at Monmouth last time, perhaps as a prep for this.  
 
Selections:  1-2-4-6
 
 
Race 12:  #7 Belisarius is a recent arrival to Mott's barn, and we'll expect him to be tough while recognizing that he had no problem burning loads of cash overseas.  Lasix goes on for his stateside debut.  
 
#10 Alarmed Ndangerous is third off the layoff and we're expecting better from him today. He likes this course, and he had a no-chance trip last time in a race dominated on the front end.  #8 Iron Power ran very well when stretched out in distance last time vs. a good horse in Storm, and he will be a factor if running as well right back.
 
Selections:  10-7-8-11
 

 

black-white-TFUS-logo_copy

 

TimeformUS Race Analysis August 29

TimeformUS Analyst Mike Beer

TimeformUS Analysis of Friday's Races at Saratoga

 
Race 1:  #5 Little Gidding dropped down in class up here earlier in the meet, and she lost all chance with a bad stumble at the start behind a blowout wire-to-wire winner.  She still came with a good finish in there, and we're expecting better as she makes her first start for Rudy Rodriguez today (perfect 100 trainer rating off the claim).  
 
#4 Da Wildcat Girl is the horse to beat in current form, and she faced a tougher group for the level (race rating of 82, as compared to today's 76) when second-best last time.  
 
#1 Mr Rico Is Valid has yet to run on fast dirt, but he challenged for the lead before tiring late in a race that went to closers. 
 
Selections:  5-4-1-6
 
 

spaunlimited

 
Race 2:  #5 Golden Story drops way down in class after getting embroiled in a fast duel vs. much better horses last time.  Has the speed in this race, which is projected to favor runners on or near the early lead.  
 
8_29_R2
 
#9 Recanted is the wildcard in the field as he makes his first start for David Jacobson and first start in NY.  Hasn't been seen to good effect since arriving stateside, but he was once a horse of plenty of potential.  
 
#8 Bajan Summer is entered back in the right kind of race off his mediocre maiden win, but this field may have come up too tough for him.
 
Selections:  5-9-8-2
 
 
Race 3:  #4 One More Song made a premature wide run to contention before weakening to finish behind several of today's rivals in debut, but she showed something in there. She can do better with that experience behind her and with a more patient ride.  
 
#1 Late Night Artist had to go early to get position from the outside post last time, and that was a race that ultimately collapsed after One More Song's early run.  Did much better at the draw this time.  
 
#2 Amazing Littlelady raced very greenly and was no factor in her Gulfstream debut.  Gets a makeover of blinkers and Lasix for her second start while dropping a bit in class.
 
Selections:  4-1-2-8
 
 
Race 4:  Distance the key in this 1 1/4 route, so perhaps the edge goes to #4 Desvelo, the field's lone prior winner over the trip.  He was racing on well for 3rd last time and starts for a sharp young trainer.  
 
We will try to get #3 Springcourt home on top as he makes his third start off the claim.  He was rated back to last when stretched out in his most recent start and managed to come with a solid late run in a race that was holding together up front.
 
#2 Sinorice may be pushed over the limit by the trip, but he likes this track and fits well with these horses.  #6 Le Deluge is off the claim by David Jacobson, and he shouldn't have any issues with the distance, being a prior winner over 2 miles.  
 
Selections:  3-4-2-6
 
 
Race 5:  This appears to be a good spot for the lightly raced #4 Lady Kreesa, who has held her own in a pair of stallion series races since breaking her maiden back in June.  She's well-bred and well-connected with upside, and is unlikely to find a much better spot than this one.  
 
#9 Life's a Stage is her only rival to have never started in a claiming race, and she was in improved form when last seen a couple of months ago.  
 
#1 Take It Inside is just 3-for-32 lifetime, but she's won twice in her last four starts, and she has speed from the inside.
 
Selections:  4-9-1-2
 
 
Race 6:  #4 Partly Mocha began the year with a pair of strong closing efforts downstate before arriving up here and chasing the pace all the way as the favorite on August 3rd.  Drops in class for this, and we'll take him over the four exiting a loaded $25k claimer up here on August 16th.  
 
#9 Mish Mosh emerged victorious in that race, but his margin for error vs. those rivals is slim.  #2 Bear Tough Tiger and #3 Flashlight both merit consideration as new faces, and they both drop in class for this.  
 
Selections:  4-3-2-9
 
 
Race 7:  Not sure what happened with #2 Lucci the Lion last time, but he has races that make him competitive, and he can benefit if a contested pace develops, which is certainly possible. Worth noting that trainer gets a perfect 100 rating second off the claim.  
 
#7 N. F.'s Destiny went wrong after getting hooked into a fast duel up here last summer, but he has shown that he still has his speed since returning, and he enters here off of an easy front-running score at Finger Lakes.  Can be dangerous if able to make the front.  
 
#4 Jeter was in too tough last time.  Entered back for half the price of his recent claim by an owner looking for wins up here, and he is clearly a good fit in this race.  
 
Selections:  2-7-4-1
 
 
Race 8:  #3 Thatza Wrap finished gamely after a tough trip behind #1 Willow U in last start, and she has proven to clearly be a better turf horse since switched over to break her maiden earlier this year.  
 
#8 Milkyyourway has settled for second-best in each of her three turf starts this year, but she has faced better than this in those races and will be tough if running her race in this spot.  
 
#7 Takeoff Your Hat is also logical in this spot.  She posted a pair of open company wins in Florida over the winter and has continued to hold her own vs. tougher since arriving back in NY.  
 
#9 Keen Katana had an easy trip and was never challenged through the stretch of maiden win last time, but she is another who has improved since switched over to turf.  
 
Selections:  3-8-7-9
 
 
Race 9:  Can only guess in NY-bred 2yo sprint with 16 entered, 15 of them first-time starters (only 10 can go).  #5 Alexandrie is a half to millionaire and multiple graded stakes winner Park Avenue Ball, and she'll debut for Pletcher, who has been quiet with his first-time starters at this meet but is always among the best at having them ready to go.  
 
8_29_R9
 
#7 Dream On is a half to Agave Kiss, a fast graded stakes winning sprinter in NY a few years ago, and she attracts Castellano for her debut.  
 
George Weaver can win first out and his #8 My Super Nova is a $100k daughter of Super Saver.  Rick Violette is also an ace with 2yo first-time starters, and he sends two, including #9 Madoo, a half to Cribnote, who was multiple Grade 1 placed as a 2yo.  
 
Selections:  8-7-5-9
 
Race 10:  #4 Latique has given the impression of being a filly on the improve after winning her last two races while appearing to do only as much as was required in those races.  Has the tactical speed to get the right trip in this race, which Pace Projector indicates may be run at a fast early pace.  
 
#2 Miss Frost has also shown improvement recently, and she comes here fresh off of a narrow victory over better up here last time.  
 
#5 Granny Mc's Kitten is the ML favorite, but her win last time came in a race that went to closers and it gives her little edge in this field.
 
Selections:  4-2-5-10
 
Race 11:  #10 Miadora was interesting moving to turf last time with pedigree to handle the switch, but she caught yielding ground and didn't appear to be extending herself through the stretch behind a talented rival in Final Redemption, who would go on to just miss in stakes company in her next start.  We'll give her one more chance assuming firm ground.  
 
#6 Zindaya disappointed at short prices in Florida after just missing in her debut up here last summer.  Returns from the layoff and can be expected to have developed in her time off.  
 
#8 Braided had good speed but no chance to hold off a sharp winner here early in the meet.  Has now settled for second in three of last four starts.  
 
Selections:  10-6-8-9
 

 

black-white-TFUS-logo_copy