Race 1: #2 Not So Quiet Man adds lasix and takes the MSW to MCL drop after landing in pair of tough races in New Jersey. Had speed last time, and new trainer gets 98 rating with this class drop. #6 Bluegrass Prevails owns the top two TFUS Speed Figures in the field at this point. Drops another notch after getting stuck on a tough wide chase behind a sharp frontrunning winner last time. #3 Threeskills was away last and then outrun by that same sharp winner last time.
Race 2: #2 Silver Ride earned field-best TFUS Speed Figure of 108 in game effort three starts back vs. a much tougher field (Race Rating 113, vs. today's preliminary rating of 94), and he has since been up against it trying to close into slow paces (note Pace Figures/fractions color-coded blue) over tracks that were favoring speed (note Race Rating Box shaded red). Trainer pulls perfect 100 rating dropping from ALW to CLM. #5 Stay Tuned is the main danger, but he appears to be heading the wrong way following pair of defeats upstate as an odds-on favorite.
Race 3: #4 Indian Brut came wide into a slow pace (note Pace figures/fractions color-coded blue) and engaged in game stretch duel before settling for 3rd in first route attempt at Saratoga. Slight cut-back for this may work better for him. #1 Juan and Bina was trying to close over a pair of speed-favoring tracks upstate (note Race Rating Box shaded red for each of his last two starts), but still managed to put up a new top TFUS Speed Figure of 109 last time. Added distance not a negative. #2 Ice Cutter didn't make a start at Saratoga after posting his maiden win over this track and trip in early July, but he trained right along up there for trainer pulling 98 rating with last-out maiden winners.
Race 4: #7 Heaven's Touch has three 100+ TFUS Speed Figures from her six career starts thus far, and she is first off the claim for David Jacobson (100 rating off the claim) after chasing a fast pace (note Pace Figures/fractions color-coded red) last time. #8 Greek Life closed down pace-setting Henry's Gal at this level to post third win in last four starts upstate. Goes first off the claim for Linda Rice from a good outside post. #5 Trail Walker is not always reliable, but her best race is pretty good, and she was a game 3rd after taking an early run when last in NY at this level.
Race 5: #7 Lord of Love doesn't win often, but he's quite a bit better than his overall record makes him look, and repeat of 101 TFUS Speed Figure earned in most recent turf start makes him a contender in this race, at a price. #4 Three for Me has been in form for an excellent trainer since switching back to turf. He can go longer, but has proven more effective sprinting, and he turns back here. #5 Latigo Trail is a dangerous speed in a race favoring his running style, according to the TimeformUS Pace Projector.
Race 6: #1 More Stormyweather looks like the right new face in this race for trainer getting perfect 100 rating first with trainer. TFUS Speed Figures earned in two turf starts in California suggest that she has found the right field, and she will have some pace to close into, according to Pace Projector. #9 Hillaryinthehouse drops in to face claiming company for the first time after getting wired closing weekend at Saratoga. Owns series of TFUS Speed Figures that suggest she is the horse to beat. #3 Awesome Quick was game while taking part in a contested pace that fell apart late on dirt last time. Prior race on turf resulted in new top figure of 84.
Race 7: #1 Aesthetique impressed in convincing win at Monmouth just 12 days ago, and enters here with the top last-out TFUS Speed Figure in tow (98). Needs to run her best race while facing allowance company again, but she's talented enough, likes this distance, and has speed at her disposal. #3 Amazing Anne is the one to beat as she steps back from pair of stallion series races just three days apart (one of them vs. colts) at Saratoga. We're getting weary of following #6 Skinner Box, but she is competitive here with her best race, and the cut-back may really work for her.
Race 8: #7 Ocala Jim drops down after facing much tougher horses in all five starts so far this year (Race Ratings 116-118-114-115-113, as opposed to today's preliminary rating of 105). Figures tough in this spot, and any residual "give" in the ground from last weekend's rain moves him up. #9 Iced Over has come back an improved horse as a 4yo, ringing up consecutive new TFUS Speed Figure tops of 101-102-105 on turf. Good finish without much chance to get to frontrunning Goodtolook last time. #10 Slew's Brew makes 4yo debut off the long layoff today. Improved on turf at the end of last year, and has a versatile running style.
Race 9: #7 Not Now Joanie drops down while switching to dirt, and will have lasix for the first time, off the trainer change to Michelle Nevin (96 rating first with trainer). Has some speed, which should serve her well in this field. #9 Glare Ice is the one to catch, and beat, switching from turf to dirt. Stamina has been her issue to this point, but she may simply have found the right field here. #2 Justenuffdior was a wise guy horse off the trainer change last time, but he did come through with a new TFUS Speed Figure top of 76 while going long on grass. Returns to level of the claim back on dirt.