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TimeformUS Race Analysis


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TimeformUS Analysis for June 1

TimeformUS Analyst Mike Beer

Race 1:  First 2yo race of 2014 in NY contains 4 fillies and 3 colts.  #2 Daredevil is a half to G1-winning millionaire Albertus Maximus and sports a solid work tab for Pletcher, who wins plenty of these races.  #4 Richie's Trix is one of the fillies for 2yo ace Wesley Ward, though his numbers debuting in NY aren't nearly as strong as they are elsewhere. #6 Big Trouble brought a big ticket for a yearling by Tiz Wonderful and ships in from Fair Hill for a top trainer.
Selections: 2-6-4-3
Race 2:  Potential seems to be there for a solid pace to develop, which would be to the advantage of returnee #3 Loveisheartandsoul, who parlayed a perfect trip into a convincing score at Aqueduct last November, then improved upon that effort despite trouble at the break in his next start.  We prefer him to Linda Rice's other horse, #10 Madam I'm Adam, who will be a shorter price.  Well-connected shipper #5 Hot Sand and #6 Smokey Brown, exiting a wide trip in first start off the layoff, are our backups. 
Selections:  3-5-6-1
Race 3:  #2 Thirteen Arrows made a promising debut at Gulfstream, and deserves a chance to rebound after getting hooked into a fast duel and tiring in start number 2.  
Wild cards are #10 Hijaab, a first-time starter for Shadwell/McLaughlin, who is from a family full of graded stakes winners, and #1 Silver Union, who moves off synthetic and into the barn of George Weaver, who excels with runners racing out of his barn for the first time (100 rating).  
Selections:  2-10-1-5
Race 4:  #10 Aesthetique tries again after having her first couple of turf races rained off this year;  flashed plenty of potential as a 2yo, and impressed when burying maidens in her final start last year.  #2 Old Harbor is an interesting price to include as she cuts back to a sprint after getting rank and headstrong going longer last time. Interested to see what we get from #6 Fancy Boss, who was a suspicious drop off the layoff after impressing greatly as a 2yo, but ran away from that field as though none the worse for wear; claimed by very sharp trainer.  
Selections:  10-2-6-11
Race 5:  #5 Thomas Hill landed in tough spot when returned from Florida, and came through with his typical strong effort; this is easier, and this is his game.  #9 Which Market is an interesting player first off the claim for Hushion; reliant on pace to set up his run, so we'll see if he gets enough. 
Selections:  5-9-6-7
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Race 6:  Interesting race on paper will likely be changed greatly by scratches, with four of the ten cross-entered into races on Saturday's card, including both halves of the entry. We'll see what the field looks like come post time, but we are interested in #9 Alternative Meds, who returns from the layoff after making great strides once switched over to grass last year.  #7 Strike Accord was unlucky last time, being moved right into traffic coming to the stretch and almost going down after clipping heels; she may be the horse to beat, but she's one we don't like to take short prices on, for obvious reasons.
Selections:  9-7-4-3-1
Race 7:  #9 Springcourt couldn't get to front-running #1 Seeker last time, but figures to have a better set up this time (cue Pace Projector).  He's a short price though, and the expected fast pace should benefit #6 Mr. Espresso, as well, and he is capable of taking advantage at a better price.
Selections:  6-9-2-4
Race 8:  #6 Stableford was a progressive three-year-old in Europe last season, and made a promising run in his stateside debut off the layoff; won't need to move forward much from there.  
#3 Play It Loud has been an in-and-outer to this point, but his good ones are quite good, and perhaps Motion can keep him heading the right way.  
Selections:  6-3-10-9
Race 9:  #8 Channel Boy is switching to turf off the claim by Linda Rice, a move that may suit considering that he is a half to the multiple Grade 3 turfer Channel Lady, who has made over $344k on that surface; won't need to be that good vs. this crew.  #12 The Mooche could prove dangerous with the class relief if in off the AE list.
Selections: 8-12-10-4
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