by TimeformUS Analyst David Aragona

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RACE 1: ROBBINS (#3)
The horse to beat is Driven West, who put in a solid effort at Parx last time. He and the eventual third-place finisher essentially ran off from the field early, opening up as much as eight lengths on their competition before tiring late. All things considered, he did well to hang on for second. He's the controlling speed here, but he is facing a tougher group. I'm trying to beat him with Robbins, who makes his first start against maiden-claiming company. Additionally, he's going out as a new gelding, and his most recent performance back on March 5 is better than it seems. That was a day that strongly favored horses with inside speed, and Robbins was racing three wide throughout.

Win: 3
Exacta Key Box: 3 with 2,4,5
 
 

RACE 6: TIME AND MOTION (#4)
With a deluge in the forecast, the rainfall could drastically affect the complexion of this race. That said, I want to bet Time and Motion whether the entire field holds together or not. I just don't think she really had a chance to put forth her optimal effort in either last fall's Matriarch or her seasonal debut in the Jenny Wiley. She was somewhat wide on both occasions and just could not seem to pick it up over very firm turf courses. She doesn't mind a little give in the ground, and I think her ample stamina could come into play against this group. Jimmy Toner adds blinkers to help her focus as she returns to New York, where she has run her best races.

Win: 4
Trifecta: 4 with 2,3 with 1,2,3,6
Trifecta: 4 with 1,6 with 2,3


 
 

RACE 7: DYNAMAX PRIME (#1)
The Pace Projector is predicting a fast pace with the speedy Two Down One to Go in front early. He’s dangerous, but he will have plenty of company on the lead. The late runners figure to have the advantage here, and the one I want most is Dynamax Prime. He's coming out of a race that may be even stronger than it appears, given that both second-place finisher Toga Challenger and fourth-place finisher Terry O'Geri came back to win their next starts with improved speed figures. I prefer him over fellow closer Can You Diggit, who has a tendency to lug in during his races.

Win: 1
Exacta Key Box: 1 with 2,5,9,10
 
 

RACE 8: ZHUKOVA (#4) / HIGHLAND SKY (#5)
I am a huge fan of Highland Sky and believe that he can be a major player in this division later in the year. That said, this is a tough spot for his 4-year-old stakes debut. I will certainly use him if he runs, but his participation is in doubt if the course takes too much rain. I respect fellow 4-year-old Sadler's Joy, who really came to hand this winter and does not appear to be fazed by moisture in the ground. However, my top pick is the new face, Zhukova. While Dermot Weld has not had recent success with his North American starters, he has won multiple American Grade 1 events over the course of his training career, especially going back to the early part of the last decade. This filly loves cut in the ground and got her season off to a strong start at Cork last month. She put in some remarkable performances last season, earning TimeformUS figures of 132 and 128. If she brings that form here, the others are likely running for second.

Win: 4
Exacta Key Box: 4 with 1,3
Trifecta: 4 with 1,3 with ALL
Trifecta: 4 with 2,8 with 1,3

 
 

RACE 9: NOBODY MOVE (#6)
They have to run down Bond Vigilante, but he's been in questionable form recently and may not be at his best over a wet track. Given that the Pace Projector is predicting a fast and contested early pace, I'm taking a shot with some closers. The one I want most is Nobody Move, who should move forward in his second start back from a layoff. He loves a wet track and is at his best at these elongated sprint distances.

Win/Place: 6
Exacta Key Box: 6 with 4,5,7
 
 

RACE 10: HIGH RIDGE ROAD (#1)
If the track is sloppy by this point in the day, which seems almost certain, I have trouble believing that Bar of Gold will be anything close to her morning-line odds of 7-2. It's no secret that this mare loves a wet track, and I could even see her getting bet down to favoritism. I'm hoping that's the case because I want to bet against her with High Ridge Road. This Linda Rice trainee also enjoys moisture in the ground and has been in great form recently. Her last race might look like a step in the wrong direction, but she never really had a chance that day after getting bothered at the break and racing out of position throughout. I think she can rebound here, and I would bet her at odds of 2-1 or greater.

Win: 1
Exacta Key Box: 1 with 2,3,5
Trifecta: 1,5 with 1,5 with ALL