NYRA handicapper Andy Serling provides daily analysis of track trends and conditions at Saratoga Race Course in an attempt to share his thoughts and insights into any possible track biases. This can be a helpful resource for handicappers as track conditions can change from one day to the next.
Belmont Park Track Trends | Aqueduct Track Trends
Monday, September 4
Fast / Firm
Clear
87
Wind 5 to 10 MPH Variable
The rail was good on the Main Track but overall it played fairly, as did both turf courses.
Sunday, September 3
Fast / Firm
Clear
84
Wind 5 to 15 MPH West
While inside speed did well in some of the dirt races, and the rail was good, overall the main track played fairly. The turf courses also appeared to play fairly, with dynamics sometimes helping speed.
Saturday, September 2
Fast / Firm
Clear
78
Wind 5 to 15 MPH SW
The rail was good on the Main Track, but not a clear advantage, as over all the dirt and turf courses played fairly. The inside was possibly an edge on the Inner Turf.
Friday, September 1
Fast / Good
Clear
76
Wind 0 to 5 MPH South
All courses, turf and dirt, played fairly.
Thursday, August 31
Fast / Good
Clear
72
Wind 5 to 15 MPH NW
The Main Track played fairly, with speed doing well in some cases, but closers dominating in others. The turf courses played fairly with dynamics likely playing the biggest role in the outcomes.
Wednesday, August 30
Muddy (sealed )2&3; Good ( 4-6 ); Fast ( 7-10 ) / Off
Clear
75
Wind 5 to 10 MPH NW
After morning rain we were off the turf. The track dried very quickly and there was an extreme speed bias. Making up ground was very hard.
Sunday, August 27
Fast / Good
Clear
75
Wind 5 to 10 MPH NE
All courses, turf and dirt, appeared to play fairly.
Saturday, August 26
Fast ( 1-4, 6-7 )Muddy ( sealed ) 9; Muddy ( harrowed ) 10, 12-13 / Mellon - Good ( 5 ); Yielding ( 8 ) - Inner ( 11 ) Yielding
Clear
78
Wind 5 to 15 MPH NW
Before the brief rain, the Main Track appeared to favor the inside, though how extensively is open to debate. Worth following. Likely the track was fair after the rain. The rails were down on the Mellon for the first time this year. The two races likely played fairly. No way to tell anything from the one race on the Inner.
Friday, August 25
Muddy ( sealed ) 1-6; Sloppy ( sealed ) 7-10 / Good ( 3 )
Cloudy-Showers
74
Wind 5 to 15 MPH South
Except for the 10F 8th race, speed was a decided advantage, with very little significant movement from behind. Forwardly placed horses dominated the results. There was one 5.5F Turf race, run on the Mellon course, with a heavy favorite winning.
Thursday, August 24
Fast / Firm
Cloudy-Showers Late
71
Wind 5 to 15 MPH SE
All surfaces, turf and dirt, played fairly. It began to rain around the 9th race through the final race.
Wednesday, August 23
Fast / Firm
Clear
77
Wind 5 to 15 MPH SE
The Main Track appeared to play fairly. The rails were at 12 feet on Mellon and 14 on the Inner. The rail might have been a slight advantage on the Inner. The Mellon appeared to play fairly.
Sunday, August 20
Fast / Good
Clear
81
Wind 5 to 15 MPH SSW
The Main Track appeared to play fairly. There is a question of whether or not it was a disadvantage to be right on the rail but it's, at best, open to interpretation. The Turf courses, probably on the Firm side of Good, played fairly.
Saturday, August 19
Fast / Good
Cloudy
71
Wind 5 to 15 MPH WNW
Speed and the rail appeared to be a decided advantage on the Main Track. We saw horses make OK runs outside, but for the most part, speed and the inside dominated. One turf sprint on the Mellon Turf course was won on the lead but no evidence the course wasn't fair. Both races on the Inner Turf played fairly.
Friday, August 18
Muddy ( sealed ) / Off
Clear
75
Wind 10 to 20 MPH South to West
After more overnight rain, we were Muddy and Off the Turf. The rail was good on the Main Track, and possibly at least a bit of an advantage. Forward horses dominated for the most part, but it was possible to make up significant ground.
Thursday, August 17
Fast / Good
Clear
80
Wind 5 to 15 MPH SE
All courses appeared to play fairly. The Turf courses were listed as Good but were likely closer to Firm.
Wednesday, August 16
Fast / Good
Cloudy
80
Wind 5 to 10 MPH SE
The rail was good on the Main Track, though not a clear advantage, as mostly the track played fairly. There was one race on each course. They were both labelled Good but were on the Firm side of Good. Each race collapsed. On the Mellon it was more logical, while on the Inner it was likely due to a quick contested pace. Hard to say there was any bias.
Sunday, August 13
Fast / Firm
Clear
80
Wind 5 to 15 MPH WNW
The Main Track played fairly. Much of the best running seemed to be done outside, but enough runners did well inside to suggest it was fair. The Turf courses seemed to play fairly. They we listed Firm but were on the Good side of Firm.
Saturday, August 12
Fast / Good
Clear
79
Wind 5 to 15 MPH SW
The trends were similar to 8/11. The rail was good on the Main track, if not a distinct advantage, and while some horses made up considerable ground, it appeared to be a benefit to be forward. The rail was an edge on the Inner Turf, but not severely. The Mellon Turf appeared to play fairly.
Friday, August 11
Fast / Good
Clear
77
Wind 10 to 20 MPH West
The rail was good on the Main Track. How much of an advantage is debatable. While it was possible to close, forwardly placed horses dominated for the most part. With the rails down to zero for the first time for the two races on the Inner, the inside was likely an advantage, but perhaps not as distinctly as in past years. There was one race, a four horse sprint on the Mellon Course.
Thursday, August 10
Fast / Off
Cloudy
76
Wind 5 to 15 MPH SW
The track appears to play fairly. The riders often drifted off the inside in the stretch, whether or not there is a concern that the rail was bad it's hard to know, and there is at best ambiguous evidence the rail was a problem in the stretch. Might be worth following.
Wednesday, August 9
Fast / Off
Clear
76
Wind 10 to 20 MPH NW
After more rain over the "weekend" we were off the turf, the Jump race was cancelled, and we lost the 5th race as well due to a power outage at the track and in the area. The Main Track appeared to play fairly.
Sunday, August 6
Fast / Good
Clear
80
Wind 5 to 10 MPH SE
The Main Track played fairly. There were three turf races, with two on the Inner, and they all appeared to play fairly.
Saturday, August 5
Fast / Yielding
Clear
78
Wind 5 to 10 MPH NW
The Main Track played fairly. There were two races on each turf course. Possible you were a bit better off outside, particularly on the Inner, but it's hard to be sure. Worth following.
Friday, August 4
Muddy ( sealed )/ Yielding
Showers
75
Wind 5 to 15 MPH SW
After heavy overnight rain, the Main Track was Muddy and the Turf was Yielding for just the Stake. It began to rain before the 7th, the Stake, and after a post race delay, the remainder of the card was cancelled. Other than there being a lot of give in the course, no determinations can really be made, other than the favorite dominating. Most of the best racing on the Main Track was done forward, but enough horses made reasonable runs to suggest the track was at least borderline fair. Tough to be sure.
Thursday, August 3
Fast / Firm
Cloudy
79
Wind 5 to 15 MPH SSW
There is a strong argument that the rail was dead on the Main Track. The turf courses likely played fairly.
Wednesday, August 2
Fast / Firm
Clear
78
Wind 5 to 10 MPH South
All courses, turf and dirt, played fairly.
Sunday, July 30
Fast / Good
Clear
75
Wind 5 to 10 MPH NW
The rail was good on the Main Track, but not a clear advantage, as the track played fairly. There was one race on each turf course, and while speed or forward horses dominated, it was likely due to race dynamics or ( in one case ) a very logical result. While there was some give to the courses, they were on the Firm side of Good.
Saturday, July 29
Fast ( 2&4 ); Good ( sealed ) -5; Sloppy ( sealed ) 7-12/ Firm ( 1&3 ) Yielding ( Mellon Turf ) 6
Cloudy, rain after the 4th
84
Wind 15 to 25 MPH SW
Hard to have concrete thoughts given the weather. Likely the surfaces played fairly, and there didn't appear to be any conclusive biases, but hard to know for sure.
Friday, July 28
Fast / Firm
Clear
90
Wind 5 to 10 MPH West
All courses, turf and dirt, played fairly.
Thursday, July 27
Fast / Firm
Cloudy
82
Wind 10 to 20 MPH SW
There were four races on the Main Track. It's hard to be sure, but the rail may have been off. Worth following. The turf courses played fairly.
Wednesday, July 26
Fast / Firm
Clear
86
Wind 10 to 20 MPH South
The rails were out 18 feet on both turf courses. All courses, turf and dirt, appeared to play fairly.
Sunday, July 23
Fast / Firm
Clear
84
Wind 5 to 10 MPH WSW
There is a fair argument the rail was dead on the Main Track. Two path and out seemed fine, but right inside may well have been dead ( similar to 7/13 - Opening Day). Worth following. The turf courses played fairly.
Saturday, July 22
Fast / Good
Clear
81
Wind 5 to 15 MPH WNW
All surfaces, turf and dirt, played fairly.
Friday, July 21
Good ( 1-3 ) Fast ( 4-10 ) / Yielding ( 9th only )
Cloudy
76
Wind 5 to 15 MPH SE
Overnight rains knocked all the races off the turf except the Stake, the Lake George. The track dried quickly and was Fast early in the day. The rail was good on the Main Track, though how much of an edge is debatable, but it's worth following. While speed did well, it could be situational. Forward horses, at the very least, probably had an advantage ( not exactly unusual on dirt ). With one turf race, on the Inner, it's hard to say there were any trends. Nobody made up any significant ground but it's hard to take a lot from that.
Thursday, July 20
Fast / Firm
Clear
83
Wind
5 to 10 MPH SSE
The Main Track played fairly, as did the Mellon Turf. The rail dominated the two turf races but arguably it was situational.
Wednesday, July 19
Fast / Good
Clear
803
Wind 5 to 15 MPH WNW
All courses, turf and dirt, appeared to play fairly.
Sunday, July 16
Good ( Harrowed ) 1-3; Sloppy ( sealed ) 4-10 / Off
Cloudy, with heavy rain before the 4th
80
Wind 5 to 10 MPH South
Before the rain, riders stayed off the rail, but there is no evidence the rail was bad. The same was the case after the rain, for races 4-7, then the 8 th winner closed inside and the rail appeared to be an advantage after that. Possibly it was always strong, but there is no way to be sure. Either way, speed and closers did fine depending on dynamics and quality.
Saturday, July 15
Fast / Firm
Clear
86
Wind 5 to 10 MPH South
The rail continued to be an advantage on the Main Track though how significant is open to interpretation. Worth following going forward. Speed did OK in some turf races on both courses, but overall they played fairly. While listed Firm, both courses were likely Good at best.
Friday, July 14
Good ( 1-2 ) Fast ( 3-10 ) / Off
Cloudy
80
Wind 5 to 10 MPH SSW
We were off the turf after heavy overnight rains. However, the Main Track dried well, and ( especially as the day progressed ) it appeared that the rail was a significant advantage.
Thursday, July 13
Fast / Firm
Clear
87
Wind 10 to 20 MPH South
There is a fair argument the rail was dead, just the rail, at least in the stretch. Worth following. The rail was out 9 feet on the Inner Turf and 12 on the Mellon. Both courses appeared to play fairly.
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