Track Trends
NYRA handicapper Andy Serling analyzes Saratoga track trends and conditions in hopes to uncover insights about potential track biases. This can be a helpful resource for handicappers, as track conditions can change from one day to the next.
2025 Belmont Stakes Racing Festival
Sunday, June 8
Fast / Good
Clear
72
Wind 5 to 10 MPH SE
The rail was good on the Main Track, but not a clear advantage, as overall the track appeared to play fairly. There was on race on each turf course, with the rails at zero, and the courses appeared to play fairly.
Saturday, June 7
Sloppy ( sealed ) 1-8; Muddy ( sealed ) 10; Good ( 11 ); Fast ( 13-14 )/ OFF
Rain early, cleared later
65
Wind 5 to 15 MPH South
The track played fairly, despite the changing conditions, throughout the day.
Friday, June 6
Fast ( 1,2,4,5,6 ) Sloppy ( sealed ) 9,10,11,14 / Firm ( 3 ); Good ( 7&8 ); Yielding ( 12&13 )
Cloudy / Rain ( second half )
76
Wind 5 to 15 MPH Variable, higher later
The Main Track played fairly before the rain, while speed and forward horses dominated after the rain. The turf courses seemed to play fairly before and after the rain.
Thursday, June 5
Fast / Firm
Clear
87
Wind 5 to 10 MPH SW
Speed dominated the dirt races. The Inner Turf played fairly. The Mellon was kind to speed, but it may have been situational.
Wednesday, June 4
Fast / Firm
Clear
80
Wind 5 to 15 MPH South
Speed did well on the Main Track, where you might have been best off at least a path off the rail, but some were fairly logical and we did see some closing. Somewhat ambiguous. The rails were out 18 feet on both turf courses, and they appeared to play fairly.
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