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Reasoned Analysis' stock rises with win in $150K Bay Shore

by Lynne Snierson

Reasoned Analysis, owned by Seth Klarman's Klaravich Stables and trained by Chad Brown, made his first attempt in stakes company a successful one as he stormed down the lane to upset a talented field in Saturday's Listed $150,000 Bay Shore, a seven-furlong sprint for sophomores, at Aqueduct Racetrack.

The Bay Shore was part of the lucrative 11-race card headlined by the Grade 2, $750,000 Wood Memorial presented by Resorts World Casino, the Grade 2 $300,000 Carter presented by NYRA Bets, the Grade 3, $200,000 Gazelle, and the Grade 3, $175,000 Distaff.

The last out winner of a one-mile maiden special weight race over this racing strip on February 25, Reasoned Analysis was making just the fourth start of his career and was competing against a field of more seasoned colts, but that proved no problem for the Kentucky-bred son of Upstart.

Ridden confidently by Eric Cancel, he stalked the fast pace of 22.78 seconds, 46.36 and 1:11.37 and then took full advantage when the speed collapsed in front of him. Racing seven-wide, Reasoned Analysis demonstrated a forceful closing kick through the lane to overtake Maximus Meridius, who had opened a four-lengths lead at the stretch call, to complete the seven furlongs in 1:24.35 over the fast main track.

Maximus Meridius rounded out the exacta beaten 3 1/4 lengths with Eliminate another 2 1/4 lengths back in third. Mission Beach, Augustine Red, Yo Yo Candy, Proprietary Trade, Ridgewood Runner, Classic Joke, and Shea D World completed the order of finish.

Cancel said he felt confident in his horse's ability.

"I just wanted to leave my horse very comfortable. I knew what I had underneath me. I've been working him," said Cancel. "I was just patient with him. I just wanted to get a clean trip, and I did. It worked out well. They left it up to me. I just wanted to keep him comfortable. The spot that I had was golden, so everything worked out well."

Four-time Eclipse Award-winning trainer Chad Brown, who also sent out seventh-place finisher Proprietary Trade, said he was pleased with the effort from Reasoned Analysis.

"The horse ran super. My assistant, Dan Stupp, deserves a lot of credit. He was telling me how well this horse was training up there. It was a last-minute entry when it looked like there was going to be a lot of pace in the race. We threw him in there to complement the other one and it worked out," Brown said. "Proprietary Trade never really looked comfortable when he couldn't get to the lead, but Eric Cancel was patient and timed it just right to start his run. I'm really impressed with the horse, my team up in New York and Eric, who is 2-for-2 on this horse. Eric has a high percentage with us and is riding really well."

Reasoned Analysis graduated from the maiden ranks at third asking last out on February 25 over an Aqueduct surface that Brown said may have worked in the colt's favor.

"Maybe it did move him along condition wise. It was a good, solid race and he gut it out," Brown said. "Eric said after that race not to be afraid to run him seven [furlongs] as he was at the end of his rope there."

Brown said that he may keep the bay colt sprinting as he moves forward.

"He seems to have found his home here, going one turn and seven-eighths. I'm not saying I wouldn't put him in a one-turn mile again - he won doing it - but he sure looked good at seven with pace in front of him," said Brown.

Maximus Meridius was turning back in distance after his fourth-place finish in the one-turn mile, Grade 3 Gotham in his last outing here on March 2. Despite his runner-up finish, trainer Butch Reid, Jr. said he was impressive nonetheless while seeking his first stakes score.

“It just looked like the horse was a little bit better than him today. He ran good and it worked out like we wanted it to. He got something to run at and he did it just fine. It was a good race," said Reid, Jr.

Mychel Sanchez, who has been aboard for each of Maximus Meridius' five career starts, was also encouraged by the effort put forth by the son of the Reid, Jr.-trained Maximus Mischief.

"I think he ran great. He's still getting himself together. I feel like he's still learning although he'd run four times. He ran great. [Reasoned Analysis] came out of nowhere. He really ran an impressive race," said Sanchez. "The track looks like it's playing off a bit today pretty much every single race so I think he ran his race. It's always great [to place in a stakes race]. This is the place you want to be so hopefully we'll be here full time one day."

Bred by Jack Miller and Upstart Syndicate, Reasoned Analysis, a $100,000 purchase at the 2022 Keeneland January Sale, improved his record to 4-2-0-0 and earned $82,500 in victory. Dispatched at 15-1 in the field of 10, he returned $33.00 for a $2 win bet.

Live racing resumes Sunday at Aqueduct with an eight-race card. First post is 1:20 p.m. Eastern.

America’s Day at the Races will present daily coverage and analysis of the spring meet at Aqueduct Racetrack on the networks of FOX Sports. For the complete broadcast schedule, visit https://www.nyra.com/aqueduct/racing/tv-schedule.

NYRA Bets is the official wagering platform of Aqueduct Racetrack, and the best way to bet every race of the spring meet. Available to horseplayers nationwide, the NYRA Bets app is available for download today on iOS and Android at www.NYRABets.com.